Originally Posted by Arjonius
Can you fully exclude 65 from his range on the river?
It seems like it would require thousands of hands of history for him to have seen you check AK in similar spots enough times that he'd expect you to do so. Plus even with enough hands, he'd still have to be a player who tracks opponents to that degree. Not impossible by any means, but might you be giving him too much credit?
I could certainly see a 56 here, I think that probably bets the turn too. I could be wrong, but with two pair I would be suprised to see that here. though not floored by it
Certainly I cannot expect him to put me on AK specifically, but maybe more "strong A." I should say he has seen me take this line in the past with AK, and I would think he is aware that I would/could take that line on this flop. I think he would NEVER put me on only AK, but I think he would expect to see that here. Though it could also be JJ+, or certainly the exact hand I have.
But all that taken into account, my KQ is almost no different than AK is here. Since he is never (almost) taking this line with an A he either is bluffing
with nothing or crushing me.
my eqity with AK here probably runs almost even with my KQ.