$100 NLHE 6-max: Is this flop play profitable or spew?

$100 NL HE 6-max: Is this flop play profitable or spew?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 26/21/6

Villain is a 2p2 reg, stats over 125 hands, agg freq 49, 3bet 18%, 17% on btn.

Is the re-raise profitable or is it just spew? fwiw, I timed for around 10 seconds before re-raising.

poker stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $74.75
Hero (CO): $107.50
BTN: $371.85
SB: $128.20
BB: $121.65

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is CO with K♠ J♥
1 fold, Hero raises to $3.50, BTN calls $3.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($8.50) 5♣ A♠ J♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $6.15, BTN raises to $16, Hero raises to $39.65, BTN raises to $368.35 all in, Hero folds

P.S. If he has a lot of hands on me, his stats will show me as a 16/13/2 nit. If he's paying attention to my session stats, I'm playing 27/22/5.

Spew because what hands would you actually 3bet for value on that flop?

WVHillbilly said:

Spew because what hands would you actually 3bet for value on that flop?

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This.

You probaly just call the flop raise with AA,JJ,AJ,55 and even AK, right?
So what can we really rep?

Is your flop 3bet a "I don't want to fold" thing, or are there specific hands in his range you want to fold out?

F Paulsson said:

Is your flop 3bet a "I don't want to fold" thing, or are there specific hands in his range you want to fold out?

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I thought his range to raise there was Ax, 88-TT, Jx, and then the hands that are never folding - 2 pr and sets. I discounted AK/AQ, AA as likely holdings, thought he'd 3bet those pf (even JJ).

I based that on his being fairly agg, knowledgable, and probably sees me as a relatively passive nit oop.

I was trying to fold out Ax, pp's, and Jx - was trying to rep at least AQ+. I normally fold this without thinking alot, I did this because it was this villain.

fwiw, oop, I tend to (prob 70%+) re-raise my strong hands on the flop, including sets - in position, I'll call sets unless the flop is wet.

slycbnew said:

I was trying to fold out Ax, pp's, and Jx - was trying to rep at least AQ+. I normally fold this without thinking alot, I did this because it was this villain.

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Sorry if this comes off as coy but I'm shooting for a pedagogical angle here:

1. How likely do you think he is to raise/fold Ax?
2. What do you gain by folding out Jx and PPs (other than QQ and KK)?

Okay, "coy" apparently doesn't mean what I think it means. Thanks, m-w.com. What's the word I want to use? Hrm.

Nope again; "coy" was apparently the word I wanted. English vocabulary and triple-post SCORE!

Coy works. Cuz I'm totally chicken oop - terrible reason, I know - pedagogical point successfully made.