£100 NLHE 6-max: Easy fold on river?

I believe this was an easy fold, just wanted to know what others thought as I have had mixed responses.

Playing live so sorry no HH.

Dealt 33 in BB
UTG straddled to £2
Everyone calls so £12 in the pot
FLOP- 2 3 4 rainbow
SB checks,
I bet £7
CO and SB call
£33 IN THE POT
TURN - 6
SB leads out for £10
Me and CO both call
£63 IN THE POT
River was a J (no flush around)
SB bets £50
I fold, CO folds, SB takes the pot and shows 9 face up

Guy next to me said I should of called. He was repping 99 when he showed the 9 but I don't see how pocket 9's is possible as he lead out on the straight
card on the turn.

If SB was going to lead out with 99 the best place for him to do it was on the flop. Unlikely that he does it on the turn. I fold there as well. Dipshit move for him to valuebet 99 on that river, if he is a dipshit then folding and waiting for a better spot is the best move I say.

You do not ever fold bottom set to a 2/3 pot bet when the only thing on the board is a low straight draw. You need to win like 28% of the time to make the call profitable and you have everyone's range crushed. Two-pair and AA/KK always bet hoping to rep a bluff, or even as straight value bets if Villain isn't a nit (in that hand it's unlikely).

Sets are a ridiculously tiny portion of any range. Your basic assumption should not be that he has one.

Lay it down. He probably had 9 5 straight. And he wants u to think he had pocket 9's by showing the nine. I am almost always folding river unless u think villain actually is capable of having something like 9's here. It's kind of read dependent. If he's solid fold for sure

Jblocher1 said:

Lay it down. He probably had 9 5 straight. And he wants u to think he had pocket 9's by showing the nine. I am almost always folding river unless u think villain actually is capable of having something like 9's here.

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If he can have a low 3-gapper he can have 9s.

Jblocher1 said:

Lay it down. He probably had 9 5 straight. And he wants u to think he had pocket 9's by showing the nine. I am almost always folding river unless u think villain actually is capable of having something like 9's here. It's kind of read dependent. If he's solid fold for sure

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Ditto

I play this the same but bet flop bigger.

Aleksei said:

You do not ever fold bottom set to a 2/3 pot bet when the only thing on the board is a low straight draw. You need to win like 28% of the time to make the call profitable and you have everyone's range crushed. Two-pair and AA/KK always bet hoping to rep a bluff, or even as straight value bets if Villain isn't a nit (in that hand it's unlikely).

Sets are a ridiculously tiny portion of any range. Your basic assumption should not be that he has one.

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To be fair I wasn't worried about set over set, I'd of got it in on flop if possible and if its a cooler its a cooler.

The fact he leads out on the turn which puts 4 to a straight on board concerns me as it completes the obvious draw. I think this discounts him playing 99 conservatively so no way will he lead out on a straight card with that holding.

The rivers irrelevant and he bets nearly the pot I'm folding as I'm still daed to a straight.

And I would say 9-5 is easily in his range being as he only has to call 1.50 into
the pot to see a flop. I would believe at that table for that pot a lot of guys would call with ATC on SB. But although I can't discount it completely I think 99 would raise pre flop so is less likely to be his holding.

Hated folding it though, was actually shaking after he showed the 9 face up lol!

Thanks

Jblocher1 said:

Lay it down. He probably had 9 5 straight. And he wants u to think he had pocket 9's by showing the nine. I am almost always folding river unless u think villain actually is capable of having something like 9's here. It's kind of read dependent. If he's solid fold for sure

Click to expand...

Exactly what I thought, he's not betting nearly the pot with 2 players to act behind with 99. And he never leads out with 99 on the 4 to a straight on the turn. I wanted the FH on the river but kinda glad it wasn't another 6 as the guy behind me had 3 6. That would of been messy lmao

Thanks

Im folding as well. Good job