Originally Posted by cucumber_pandas
So any time Im in a hand vs you and you ch/r a dry board like this i can float 100% of my range and bet turn when you check?
Check/raising over reps our hand and really the only reason we would ever be doing it here is for protection, since we are never getting called by worse and we are never folding out better. Most players at these stakes aren't going to be double and triple barreling with a large frequency so ch/call is by far the best line imo.
Yes I can be bluffed off of the turn when I c/r someone and I get raised on the turn when I don't have a very strong hand.
I guess this could be a leak... but since the situation arises pretty rarely, and 99 is still not really the hand I want to put a lot of money in the middle with, I feel pretty good taking it down on the flop or letting it go if someone shows continued aggression.
Since, like you said, all the weaker hands are folding and all the better hands are calling we can determine where we are on the flop rather than calling another larger bet on the turn, since that bet will be bigger than our c/r would have been. (until we have reason to suspect otherwise- similar to folding the turn after my flop c/r is floated and then there's a bet)
And, since people at this stake are apparently not double barreling or triple barreling very often, it may still get us to showdown cheaper as it will deter further action from people who are already shy of betting.
BTW: I hate calling, I'll call but I still hate to do it when I could fold or raise since those are often better options than a call- not always a better option (yeah yeah wa/wb) but I still hate to call.