Originally Posted by BelgoSuisse
Do you take the same line with QJ and AK ?
Who cares? Balance is totally LOL. I overbet shove AK preflop one hand, and the very next had I overbet shove preflop he calls me with AQs. This guy is a multi-tabling reg on auto-pilot. Balance is totally lost on this guy (and 99.9999% of players you'll ever play against).
So the real trick here is that we have to choose a line that can fold top pair. We don't want to look like a draw, because then they fold less. We want to pick a line that maximizes fold equity, because just about everything has good equity against us. Also, our draw has very little implied odds
, as we are out of position an hearts & 8's are going to be very obvious.
There were only really 3 lines I considered: This one, check/raising the flop, and bet/3-betting the flop.
I just figured "Okay, I want to fold 1 pair hands" so I decided to check/raise the turn since maybe he's heard of the theorem & will fold some of his one pair hands.
But he's also especially aggressive, so I think I may like bet/3-betting a little bit more. His AF is 9.4, and the board is especially wet, so he's likely to raise most of his range that he continues with if I donk into him. However, he also may just straight up fold to my lead when I could get a c-bet out of him check/something'ing.
I'm not sure which line is best. He c-bets & double barrels a lot so that leads me to like this line, and he probably expects me to check/raise some draws. So I'm not totally sure which line I like best, and I thought there might be some good discussion in here somewhere.
So what's the better way to earn sklansky bucks out of say AT/KQ/66/98 (which is a decent representative sample of his range) in this case?