$10 NLHE Full Ring: what is the best line against this half-stacked fish?

$10 NL HE Full Ring: what is the best line against this half-stacked fish?

few hands on villain, but they show stats like 30/0/0.5...


poker stars, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP3: $5.75 (57.5 bb)
CO: $9.45 (94.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10.65 (106.5 bb)
SB: $5.75 (57.5 bb)
BB: $16.90 (169 bb)
UTG+1: $2.90 (29 bb)
MP1: $9.90 (99 bb)
MP2: $9.70 (97 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with 9 9
3 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, CO calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.40, CO folds

Flop: ($1.25) 7 8 3 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets $0.70, MP3 calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.65) 6 (2 players)
MP3 bets $0.50, Hero ???


what is the proper thing to do here? keep the pot small, or raise? i have good showdown value on this board, i believe...

I'm just raising and getting it in. His range seems like it's mostly stuff like one pair + straight draws or even a lone 8 or 7 that's trying to get to showdown cheap. Even if he has 2 pair, you have like 30% equity with your open ended + any 9 + any board pair that doesn't give him a fullhouse. Sets and straights are a really small part of his range... raise and get it in now. Bet more on flop too, 70c is too small. Go for 90c.

I dunno, we can weight sets/two pair/straights less than the pair+draw hands, but since we have two of the cards that make up the big draw on this board, the pair+draw hands are even less likely, and his entire range has to be pretty weighted towards them in order for us to raise/call here.

I do think his range will consist of random other stuff too sometimes though, like 55/44, random 8x/7x hands, and that probably makes up for the times you're behind. Plus two pair hands are the most likely of his holdings and as AB said, we have pretty good equity against them, so in other words we're not in terrible shape when we get it in.

i totally agree that u have great showdown value as of now. i would flat this bet and see what the river brings.

thanks guys
just in case anyone is interested, here are the results of the hand...

Results: $11.75 pot ($0.55 rake)
Hero showed 9 9 (two pairs, Nines and Threes) and lost (-$5.75 net)
MP3 showed A A (two pairs, Aces and Threes) and won $11.20 ($5.45 net)

i was like.. "um, lol, okaaaay"