$10 NLHE Full Ring: Value on river??

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 53/3/2

Even though i'm oop I raise pre b/c he calls with worse Jx Qx and suited cards, i think the cbet is standard and i'm willing to get it in pre if he jams, when he min-raises though i feel like he probs calls on a draw and he's passive so he could be strong, but theres a non-0% chance of him doing this with some mid pair or drawy hand so I call to eval the turn, i'm planning on c/fing the turn but he checks it back, the river bricks though and I feel I have a bit of value, although not much worse calls a bet, what do you think??


poker stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 1392852
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG+1: $12.24
MP: $12.60
CO: $3.25
BTN: $9.65
SB: $9.22
Hero (BB): $10.00
UTG: $10.00

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with J <font color='red'>♥</font> Q <font color='red'>♥</font>
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, UTG+1 calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.25) T <font color='black'>♣</font> J <font color='black'>♣</font> 9 <font color='black'>♠</font> (2 players)
Hero bets $0.90, UTG+1 raises to $1.80, Hero calls $0.90

Turn: ($4.85) A <font color='black'>♠</font> (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

River: ($4.85) 3 <font color='red'>♦</font> (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $2.30, Hero

An AF of 2 for someone who plays so passively preflop and plays over half his hands does NOT equal passive postflop. I'd just get on the flop against this guy and feel pretty good about it. As played I call the river.

Thanks, I always overlook the AF when playing passive guys postflop, and this kinda shows that, guy had AQ and got there on the river but if i get it in on the flop i would've been about 65%, a 53/3 who raises draws!

orangepeeleo said:

a 53/3 who raises draws!

Click to expand...

This is what I was alluding to. He's very passive preflop but he basically has to go nuts postflop to get his overall AF to 2. TPGK is stack worthy on a drawy board against this guy.