$10 NLHE Full Ring: Value bet river or check?

W

watchtowel

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 27/7/1

Would a hand that beats mine and calls the flop would bet at some point. Although he is on the passive side

pokerstars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($10.61)
MP2 ($6.92)
CO ($7.47)
Button ($4.36)
SB ($10.20)
BB ($10.31)
Hero (UTG) ($10)
UTG+1 ($4)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10
diamond.gif
, 10
spade.gif

Hero bets $0.40, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.40, 4 folds, BB calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.25) 9
spade.gif
, 5
diamond.gif
, 6
heart.gif
(3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.95, 1 fold, BB calls $0.95

Turn: ($3.15) J
diamond.gif
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($3.15) 4
spade.gif
(2 players)
BB checks, Hero ...?
 
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WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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I think you'll get called by worse quite often as long as you're not betting like full pot. I'd bet like $1.75 - $2 here.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Also bet turn for value. The jack is a complete blank and he's never folding a pair+GS or flopped top pair.

I regularly go for 3 streets here, whatever sizing I feel he'll call down.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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Also bet turn for value. The jack is a complete blank and he's never folding a pair+GS or flopped top pair.

I regularly go for 3 streets here, whatever sizing I feel he'll call down.
Its pretty unnecessary to point out how Chuck's line is probably the right one, but I'm going to do it anyways...

I disagree that the jack is a complete blank, but J9/J8/J7 are really the only combos with a jack. So there's obviously still plenty of room for a value bet since the jack only hit 3 combos.
 
C

Cooking

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I would do a value bet on the river, because I believe that most of the times that you are going to get called, your opponent are going to have a worst hand. I would put him in a top pair on the flop.
 
W

watchtowel

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I value bet the river and he showed QQ. Am I right to be surprised at his hand? I would have raised QQ at some point...
 
Stu_Ungar

Stu_Ungar

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It dosent overly surprise me foem a 27/7 this is why you must fold when they bet
 
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