$10 NLHE Full Ring: Should I have raised the flop?
Merge, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
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MP3: $5.70 (57 bb)
CO: $11.36 (113.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $12.88 (128.8 bb)
SB: $2.90 (29 bb)
BB: $10.04 (100.4 bb)
UTG+1: $7.55 (75.5 bb)
UTG+2: $7.69 (76.9 bb)
MP1: $15.72 (157.2 bb)
MP2: $4.49 (44.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with Qd Kh
4 folds, MP3 calls $0.10, CO calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.40, CO calls $0.40
Flop: ($1.65) Jc 4c Td (3 players)
MP3 bets $0.82, CO folds, Hero calls $0.82
Turn: ($3.29) Qs (2 players)
MP3 bets $2.19
Results: $3.29 pot ($0.16 rake)
Final Board: Jc 4c Td Qs
MP3 mucked and won $3.13 ($1.81 net)
The villain's stats here are VPIP:91, PFR:0, AF:4. This is only over 11 hands though so it's too small a sample size to be much of a factor.
I was thrown off on the flop when the villain came out betting. I was considering raising and I probably should have with my OESD and 2 overcards. I'm assuming if he had a strong hand, he would have bet larger to discourage any draws. With the 2/3 pot bet on the turn, I decided to just fold, I didn't want to lose my stack over top pair. Should I have played this one differently? Even though my sample size is small, the fact that he's been limping in with 91% of these first 11 hands makes me wonder if I shouldn't have given him so much credit.