$10 NLHE Full Ring: QQ's facing flop raise on J52cc

E

eggerdy

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PokerStars - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+2: $10.60 (VPIP: 14.04, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 3.39, hands: 175)
CO: $9.85 (VPIP: 25.93, PFR: 9.26, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 56)
BTN: $6.19 (VPIP: 15.44, PFR: 6.03, 3Bet Preflop: 2.74, Hands: 1,640)
SB: $9.60 (VPIP: 22.73, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
BB: $7.28 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 18)
UTG: $10.23 (VPIP: 36.99, PFR: 4.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 73)
UTG+1: $4.09 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
Hero (MP): $10.00
MP+1: $10.45 (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 13)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has Q Q

UTG raises to $0.20, fold, Hero raises to $0.90, fold, fold, CO calls $0.90, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.70

Flop: ($2.85, 3 players) J 5 2
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.63, CO raises to $3.26, fold, Hero?

Not got much of a read on CO. He's folded to 3 out of 4 c-bets and I haven't noticed him getting out of line. Is this a fold unless I have a read that he plays TPTK, or flush draws like this?

Thanks
 
IPlay

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I doubt villain shows up with 55, 22 here as he cold called a 3 bet pre. JJ is just sooo likely here. Does he cold call pre with AJ and raise flop?

Against a 26/9 in this spot that has folded to 75% of cbets I think we can actually find a nit fold. Even though I hate it with this SPR and an overpair.
 
M

MinhANguyen

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Fine to fold given reads and stats. Stacking off is spew, and I don't think calling is great against him and with SPR. It's certainly an option, but we're not ahead here too often.
 
John A

John A

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You can fold here. It would help if we had some aggression stats, but based on the vpip/pfr, he's probably passive. So I mean it's doubtful he's raising TT, and probably even calling with draws with someone else in the pot - at least most people would want another call if possible. So most of his range has got you in bad shape.
 
E

eggerdy

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You can fold here. It would help if we had some aggression stats, but based on the vpip/pfr, he's probably passive.

Looking back over poker tracker, his AF was infinite. He'd either folded or bet the other times he'd seen flops, this was the first time he'd raised.

Thanks for the feedback everyone.
 
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rhombus

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Fine to fold given reads and stats. Stacking off is spew, and I don't think calling is great against him and with SPR. It's certainly an option, but we're not ahead here too often.

What SPR would you just JAM hoping he had AJ, TT, 88, 77 flush draws. On the flop its only about 3
 
IPlay

IPlay

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What SPR would you just JAM hoping he had AJ, TT, 88, 77 flush draws. On the flop its only about 3

Extremely optimistic here. Who cold calls a 3 bet and then raises flop with an under pair? What nits are cold calling 3 bets with AJ?
 
R

rhombus

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Extremely optimistic here. Who cold calls a 3 bet and then raises flop with an under pair? What nits are cold calling 3 bets with AJ?

OK fair enough. I'm mostly 6Max but thougt once SPR was 1-3 then your close to Pot committed unless really wet flop like 789 two-tone.

PS regarding SPR does it stop once the flop has been dealt. Does it change once you bet and change again if raised or is it fixed after Preflop betting and raising has finished???
 
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Terrell

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I dont know, I may have to look him up
 
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CactusCat

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I think it's a fold. The best case scenario is that you're up against two overs plus flush draw. Doing okay vs AQ of clubs, flipping vs. Ak of clubs, and dead vs. JJ. AJ would probably fold preflop OOP, or check-call the flop.
 
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BPEPFPDP

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I think pretty nit game expect from villain hands like JJ,55,22, fits perfectly, easy to read, or just think too optimisticaly... on this spot QQ - underdog.
 
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