$10 NLHE Full Ring: overpair on a connected board

skrsh76

skrsh76

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pokerstars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com/

Button ($4.91)
SB ($10)
BB ($20.56)
UTG ($8.61)
UTG+1 ($11.43)
MP1 ($10.61)
MP2 ($10)
MP3 ($8.35)
Hero (CO) ($10)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A
diamond.gif
, A
club.gif

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.30, MP1 calls $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, 4 folds, MP1 calls $0.90

Flop: ($2.85) J
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, 8
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, 10
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(2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2.85) Q
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(2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.87, MP1 calls $0.87

River: ($4.59) J
spade.gif
(2 players)
MP1 bets $2.23, Hero calls $2.23

Total pot: $9.05 | Rake: $0.41
 
S

seventhsense

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Post flop is a bit of a train-wreck I'm afraid.

C-bet, plenty worse hands will call. Then barrel turn, fold to a raise.
As played, bet far more OTT.
River is a close, I expect to be beaten fairly often. We only need to be right 25%+. Im not sure we win that often. Although, he can show up with bluffs/random value hands we beat because of how weirdly you played post flop. His sizing doesn't make me think that's the case though.
 
TimovieMan

TimovieMan

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Why check this flop through? C-bet for value, and c-bet big!

Then bet/fold the turn, or alternatively, check the turn through and plan on calling most rivers.
 
Romario2223

Romario2223

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on this flop I'll protect Aces and raise,
Than Bet/ fold on the turn
 
P

pyrotheassassin

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Agree, you need to bet the flop on this board as Aces are definitely worth a value bet. Bet/fold the turn. I think I would fold the turn; however, as the J pairs the top card on the flop.

On the flop, I'm hoping Villian has AJ-QJ, T9s, 98s, AQ, KQ, or possibly QQ/AK (might 4-bet these PF). By the river, most of those hands are ahead, so now I don't really have any hands, aside from AQ/KQ, from the flop that I want him to have on the river, but I wouldn't expect him to have AQ based on line since that hand would probably be bet on turn following check/check. Because of this reasoning, I don't think I'd call the river as I don't expect a bluff or KQ 25% of time, as seventhsense pointed out.
 
Aces2w1n

Aces2w1n

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never check that flop .. we raise large at least 3/4 size if not a touch more.


we get a lot of 2nd best hands such as draws not going anywhere even jx hands.

think of a lot turn cards such as the q which scares 2nd best hands and only better hands continue... once the queen comes out our hand is much weaker and we want to get into a showdown value mode rather than value betting mode
 
J

joe777

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Cbet on the flop would also gain info on villain hand strength.
 
John A

John A

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Cbet on the flop would also gain info on villain hand strength.

Well, opponent is never folding that flop, so there's no info gained.

But yeah, lots of post flop mistakes. Need to c-bet, bet a little larger on the turn. River is pretty neutral call/fold. Opponent stats or info could weight this slightly more one way or the other.
 
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