$10 NLHE Full Ring: Nuts on the turn, Is my line of thought correct here ?

A

Always_Raise_U

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$10 NL HE Full Ring: Nuts on the turn, Is my line of thought correct here ?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 19/9/1

Stacks:
* MP1 with $19.60
* MP2 with $4.99
* MP3 with $8.58
* CO with $12.03
* BTN with $13.49
* SB with $16.32
* BB with $9.71
* UTG with $21.31
* UTG+1 with $10.00

hand.pl


hand.pl

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: full tilt poker
* * Dealt to UTG+1:A♠ J♠
* * Sklansky group 2
Preflop:
* * 1 players fold.
* * UTG+1 raises to $0.40
* * 3 players fold.
* * CO calls [$0.40]
* * 3 players folded.
* * Total folds this street: 7
* * Potsize: $0.95
Flop:
* * J♦ 3♠ 5♠
* * UTG+1 bets [$0.50]
* * 3 players fold.
* * CO calls [$0.50]
* * Potsize: $1.95
Turn:
* * 9♠
* * UTG+1 bets [$1.20]
* * CO calls [$1.20]
* * Potsize: $4.35
River:
* * 7♣
* * UTG+1 bets [$3]
* * CO calls [$3]
Results:


The results have been hidden.

Poker Hand Converter By Cardschat.com Poker Forum

Sample is 92 hands, so I think for preflop stats, it's pretty accurate

Ok I know I should have bet more on the flop and probably too on the turn and river but I was wondering something at this time... When you're extracting value from a hand, is it better to bet 3/4 - whole pot without being afraid of scaring villain ?

My analysis on this hand is that I should have bet more on the flop with TPTK and a nutflush draw. Then when I make my flush on the turn I suppose I should have bet 3/4 - pot since if he has a draw or a flush, he'll call the 3/4 bet as much as the 2/3, then on the river, again I should have bet 3/4 - Full pot as he called all the way so he must have a good hand and he won't fold here very often.

Is my own analysis correct here ? If not, then go ahead and tell me, I'm still a newbie :D

TIA,
 
Steveg1976

Steveg1976

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For value bet as much as you think villian will call and that is usually more than you think. Bet more like $.75 on the flop, $2.00 on the turn and shove the river. You will be shocked how often shoving the nuts on the river gets called especially as there are so many calling stations in the micros.
 
StormRaven

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For value bet as much as you think villian will call and that is usually more than you think. Bet more like $.75 on the flop, $2.00 on the turn and shove the river. You will be shocked how often shoving the nuts on the river gets called especially as there are so many calling stations in the micros.

^^^This. VNH btw!
 
Forsmann

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In such situations I try to show, that I play AK
nice bet on the flop & turn
but on the river I'd bet overpot or all....he can play QQ+ & never will fold this hand
 
BelgoSuisse

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bet/bet/bet is the only good line against someone as passive as villain, so kudos for that.

betting closer to pot on each street would be better. As soon as you see the flop you must be willing to play for stacks, so your bet sizing should try to get you there in 3 streets.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Pot/Pot/Shove. Pot can be something just under but you want all his $$ on the river. But hey at least you didn't check to trap him.
 
R

rongshihong

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Pretty standard. I like your line here. Just bet a little bit more on each street.
 
reverie

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not betting big enough with these sort of hands is devastating to your overall winrate. Do whatever it takes to set up a river shove.
 
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