$10 NLHE Full Ring: Crappy Spot with Set

$10 NL HE Full Ring: Crappy Spot with Set

Only 21 hands on villain.

Full Tilt, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP2: $10 (100 bb)
MP3: $21.01 (210.1 bb)
CO: $13.44 (134.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $16.31 (163.1 bb)
SB: $9.39 (93.9 bb)
BB: $20 (200 bb)
UTG+2: $12.42 (124.2 bb)
MP1: $13.45 (134.5 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with J J
5 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds

Flop: ($0.70) K J A (2 players)
SB bets $0.70, Hero raises to $2.50, SB calls $1.80

Turn: ($5.70) T (2 players)
SB bets $6.59 and is all-in, Hero calls $6.59

Id say with hes overbet we are definetly beat, most likely a straight or possibly a flush.

I call here like you, but I'm not happy. Ten outs against either the straight or the flush, but there are a couple of 2 pair and Ax hands in his range I think.

slycbnew said:

I call here like you, but I'm not happy. Ten outs against either the straight or the flush, but there are a couple of 2 pair and Ax hands in his range I think.

Click to expand...

unfortunately, his range also contains the hand , against which we have no outs at all. but anyway, i also call here and hope he had AJ or AT.

unfortunately, his range also contains the hand , against which we have no outs at all. but anyway, i also call here and hope he had AJ or AT.

Click to expand...

I disagree. That's one of the hands that he is definitely not over-shoving imo. At the same time, any Q has us beat, and obviously if he is donking a flush we're behind also. I'm just not sure if this is a standard call, hope he has worse/hope we get there if not?

Running it through Stove I'd say you have about 38% equity against his likely range (this is what I used AQs-ATs,KQs,KsJs,KsTs,Q9s+,AQo-ATo,KQo,KJo,KTo,Q9o+). Based on the odds you're getting it's close but I think it's a call. Now if you think his overbet shove narrows his range to ONLY flushes and Queens it's a fold. Personally I think there are enough 2 pair type hands or hands with the Ks to make calling slightly profitable.

Raise flop more so its a fist-pump call on the turn. I pump this to like 3.25, because nothing folds this flop. Just shoving over his flop bet wouldn't be all that bad either if he's kinda fishy.

IDK for sure but this is screaming i got a flush and i'm hoping you got lots of the board. the flop action is what makes me think flush draw. he donks then calls just seems to me draw.

to fold set is very difficult decision, but u have 9 outs to catch a full-house, call is correct

I agree that it looks like he's on a draw; wouldn't surprise me if he had KsQs or perhaps even a weaker pair of spades.

Simply from the fact that you have no info on the villain and its 10NL I believe its an automatic call, his range is so wide with unknown data and the lower limit you gothe larger the ranges seem to be.

At unl, overbet shoves are basically always the nuts. If he doesn't already have a flush, and a huge flush, I'd be shocked. Also stuff like AQ, straight with a fdraw are in there.

Against those kind of hands we're around 20% equity which sucks. I'd just let this one go.