$10 NLHE Full Ring: AA utg facing raise on flop

eagle jim

eagle jim

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 10, 2008
Total posts
758
Chips
0
$10 NL HE Full Ring: AA utg facing raise on flop

--------------------
HAND 1
--------------------

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Poker Tools by Stoxpoker - Hand Details


BTN: $10 (100 bb)
SB: $4.95 (49.5 bb)
BB: $10.10 (101 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $20.35 (203.5 bb)
MP1: $1.60 (16 bb)
MP2: $2 (20 bb)
MP3: $11 (110 bb)
CO: $2.60 (26 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is UTG+1 with A
spade.gif
A
diamond.gif

Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0.40, 4 folds

Flop: ($0.95) 5
spade.gif
K
diamond.gif
8
club.gif
(2 players)
Hero bets $0.75, MP3 raises to $2.20, Hero??????

Have 7 hands on villian, I was 10 tabling so I have no idea about the other hand he was involved in except that by looking at his stack size he must have won it. Evidently he posted early to have seven hands in MP3 at a full ring table. What is our play here?
 
S93

S93

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 27, 2008
Total posts
6,154
Chips
0
Shippit!
I have no problem stacking a early posting unknown 10nl player with AA here.
Its gonna be KQ,Kx,A8 and random crap so much more often then he has 55,88 and KK imo.
K8s is also possible but i honestly cant give him any credit.
 
eagle jim

eagle jim

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 10, 2008
Total posts
758
Chips
0
For some reason villian stats did not post.....he was 17/0/? over 7 hands.
 
slycbnew

slycbnew

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 8, 2008
Total posts
2,876
Chips
0
I'd assume he's got one of the three sets, a 2 pair hand, Kx, or 76. Kx (say, AK down to K8, and K5) is a huge part of his range and actually what I expect to see (esp. if he's a fish, which we're guessing if he posted early). Hero's a 61% favorite for this range - I like raising him to 2.5x to 3x, hoping he shoves so we can call, or simply shoving.

Sindri beat me to it, ditto
 
Last edited:
T

toybits

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 25, 2008
Total posts
51
Chips
0
villain stack around $8, pot at $4 without my call. Villain's almost pot committed here but we need one more bet from him. as for my hand, I think I have a strong enough hand against his range that I'm willing to play for his stack. I like the 2-2.5x raise here as anything bigger might fold K pairs with weak kickers
 
eagle jim

eagle jim

Visionary
Silver Level
Joined
Mar 10, 2008
Total posts
758
Chips
0
So from the info posted we are in agreement to shove or at least raise.......definitely not call:(
 
slycbnew

slycbnew

Cardschat Elite
Silver Level
Joined
Aug 8, 2008
Total posts
2,876
Chips
0
So from the info posted we are in agreement to shove or at least raise.......definitely not call:(

Definitely not a call, we're ahead of his range and we want to build the pot quickly, and we're OOP.
 
S

soonerdel

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Sep 14, 2007
Total posts
195
Chips
0
either shove now or flat and shove the turn
 
Top