I think analyzing from our stand point...and from the the standpoint that many of the players youre playing against is totally different.
80% of the people you play at 10nl wont spend 5seconds as to think what you could have PF and what you could have on the turn and river. If they call flop and lead turn, they are probably in for the ride, where ever that may take them.
A lot of them don't consider lines to be anything meaningful. To us a call on flop and c/r on turn vs a fish is obviously a monster and usually a fold w/o implied odds
to call...etc...but to them, its just a gamble and if they lose they lose.
So the bottom line at 10nl and probably all micro stakes, although ive only been up to 25nl, is dont bluff. Value betting with made hands/good draws on the flop, turn and river(with made draws!) will be a LOT of your profit at this stake, and I still have to figure that out. Risk vs. reward isnt worth it in regards to bluffing at the micros.
If you can think outside of the present hand, you can really overcome loses in the long run. You have to let your missed draws go, and take adv. of your made ones, and that will be plenty to make it +EV.
Also, with a draw, by the time you get to the river the pot is usually substantial enough for your bluff bet to have to be big to be convincing. Anyone will have odds to call a quarter sized bet on the river, and a pot sized bet would have to be effective a lot of the time to be +ev i think, but i may be wrong.