Originally Posted by JonasBluffer
In this kind of situations, against a fish I fold, I think a A3o is in his range of playable hands, making the three of a kind...
But we're not just playing against 1 hand in his range, we're playing against his entire range. I don't have P-stove here at work, but if we make his range all made hands (no draws), then I'd expect to see something like this:
A2, 44-66 (Sometimes these are min-raised by bad players to "see where they are")
A7, any 7 with a flush draw
88-AA (I think slowplayed big pairs are certainly in his range)
AQ, KJ, mostly overcards/whatever that took a card off on the flop
I'm not sure there are many draws in his range, since a baluga is usually strong made hands. So for this hand, I'd poker stove that range, and then see how many bluffs you have to add into his range to make this a call. If you have to add a lot of bluffs, then its a fold.