$10 NLHE 6-max: turn into semi bluff or not

YNWA

YNWA

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Would like some thoughts on turn and river , do you like turning it into a semi bluff on turn to fold out over pair AJ KJ or a bluff on river to rep the flush ? maybe even raise flop thoughts ?

thanks.


SB: $16.34 - VPIP: 71, PFR: 14, 3B: 16, AF: 3.9, Hands: 78
BB: $19.96 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 26, 3B: 15, AF: 3.6, hands: 175
Hero (UTG): $10.00 -
MP: $11.16 - VPIP: 56, PFR: 5, 3B: 2, AF: 1.6, Hands: 138
CO: $18.22 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 3.4, Hands: 369
BTN: $30.05 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 1.3, Hands: 210

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with J :club: Q :club:
Hero raises to $0.35, 3 folds, SB raises to $0.60, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.30) 8 :club: 9 :heart: J :heart: (2 players)
SB bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.70) 4 :heart: (2 players)
SB bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80

River: ($4.30) 7 :club: (2 players)
SB bets $0.80, hero ?
 
warturtle7

warturtle7

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I think you played it fine but against a player with VPIP 72 you should have the best hand here a lot of the time
 
H

hffjd2000

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SB bets is urging you to call.
You might be losing on card odds but that 5:1 pot odds is so irresistible.
 
YNWA

YNWA

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SB bets is urging you to call.
You might be losing on card odds but that 5:1 pot odds is so irresistible.

i know i felt at the time on the turn he had me beat but he was scared of the flush , do you think it's a good semi bluff on turn to fold out kj aj and over pairs , or maybe even a river shove to turn hand into a bluff.

I very rarely run big bluffs like this and it would have to be turn raise and shove any river or shove river to get it through i think. Maybe i don't need to run these types bluffs at 10nl i'm not sure. I'm looking to see if this is a good spot to run a big bluff really.


also a 72/14 is he capable of folding a hand ?, i'm not sure if those stats can tell me anything about postflop , what should i look for in his stats ?

thanks.
 
Arjonius

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I think you played it fine but against a player with VPIP 72 you should have the best hand here a lot of the time
It seems like you should also consider how he has tended to play post-flop. For instance, if he's a fit or fold player, we can safely assume he has something.

There's also the question of how much often he puts money in the put when he has to call an opening bet vs being able to limp or limp behind.
 
John A

John A

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Here's a little secret, and this works at most stake levels. I used to use it at high stakes a lot until people starting catching on and talking about this strategy.

Raise the turn in these kinds of spots, especially against fish. You will not get re-bluffed, and sometimes they will call with worse. Most importantly, they will usually check the river, and then you can decide if you want to take the free showdown or value bet. Typically speaking it ends up being cheaper. Additionally they will only re-raise with better 98.539% of the time, so you can easily dump your hand when you're likely drawing dead.

As played, call river. It's a fish, they could have any 2 at this point, but usually this will be a weak top pair, middle or 3rd pair based on sizing.
 
Karozi615

Karozi615

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I think you just call here? At this point villain has priced you in so much that calling is very appropriate - I'm not really sure what turning our hand into a bluff accomplishes, I'm not even sure you would fold out over pairs.
Your hand has showdown value.
if opponent bombed it we could fold
if they checked we could comfortably check back and expect to win
in this scenario I think we just call and win sometimes, showing a slight profit
 
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