$10 NLHE 6-max: SET OOP Scary river

D

deduction

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PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 105.1 BB
Hero (SB): 100.5 BB
BB: 131.4 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 37.50, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, hands: 8)
UTG: 95.5 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
MP: 142.3 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
CO: 135.2 BB (VPIP: 20.46, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 5.51, Hands: 795)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7♥ 7♣

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) K♠ 4♦ 7♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 4 BB, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, BTN calls 6.5 BB

Turn: (28 BB, 2 players) Q♠
Hero bets 14 BB, BTN calls 14 BB

River: (54.6 BB, 2 players) A♦
Hero checks

My goal is to charge Flush draws + Straith draw (about 45combos) , but I want to keep in pot weak KX (K9+ KXs) combos (about 80 combos) in range.

And river as played i thing would be
X/C if Villain bets <=50%
X/???? if Villain bets 50%-70% ?
X/F if Villain bets >70%

But now Im thinking maybee B/F 1/2POT would be better option?
 
Arjonius

Arjonius

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My goal is to charge Flush draws + Straith draw (about 45combos) , but I want to keep in pot weak KX (K9+ KXs) combos (about 80 combos) in range.
To what degree are you taking into account that all holdings aren't necessarily equally likely? For instance, if BTN is weak tight, is he as likely to have a straight draw as a maniac?
 
John A

John A

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Where are stats on opponent? You lost quite a bit of value by not betting enough on every street. As played, bet fold ~31 on the river.
 
IPlay

IPlay

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Turn bet was weak and I would lead out on river with a small defensive bet of about 20BB and consider folding to any raise.
 
Arjonius

Arjonius

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My goal is to charge Flush draws + Straith draw (about 45combos) , but I want to keep in pot weak KX (K9+ KXs) combos (about 80 combos) in range.
To expand on what I wrote before, your CR asks him to call 6.5bb into a pot of 21.5bb. How well does this address your stated goal of charging draws?

Also, how likely is he to call your CR with Kx? I'm not saying he won't, but rather asking how well your line fits your other stated goal.

On the turn, if he's calling 1/2 pot, he's likely to call more. The key question is how much more. You don't know, but when / if you bet less than he'd call, you're giving up value.

Betting the river seems preferable to checking. The question is how much. It might be easier to decide depending how much info you have on the opponent.
 
Nathan Williams

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3Bet preflop is better here a lot of the time. Bet sizes postfop are all too small.
 
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