Originally Posted by xdeuceswild81xx
well if were going to flat 3b oop w/AQ here, we really can't fold the turn imo.
What did the J turn do that changed his range here? QJ is ahead, but were crushing his range in this spot and it's not a bad card for him to barrel, since our 88/99/1010 are folding + any other rando ax's we float with.
If your going to play this hand pre in the way you did, you really have to call this turn and i'm only really folding if the river is a K. Besides that, i'm calling turn/calling off otr imo
This was a while back. The J probably didn't change his range, if anything it helps us. Surely that means he is less likely to bluff on a card that helps our range more than his range?
Like, the board texture didn't change at all. He gains almost zero fold equity with this card so I can't see him wanting to bluff it. So it's not that I thought the J strengthens his range much here, simply that his double barrel bluff frequency here is extremely low.
I've been thinking along similar lines recently, in that we have to call y street because we played x street as such. Wrong way to go about it IMO.
His sizing also scared the **** out of me. If he did assume that card added FE then why barrel so large, just looks like he wants SPR so low I call any river. He also isn't going to triple barrel bluff after we call such a large bet here OTT but it's not like we can ever fold OTR.
Anyway this was an old hand and I can't even recall it.