$10 NLHE 6-max: Nut flush + gutshot facing a raise OTF

S

ScottishMatt

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poker stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2231400
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $10.15
Hero (SB): $10.14
BB: $10.00
UTG: $19.72
CO: $13.46

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A
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2
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1 fold, CO calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, BB calls $0.30, CO calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.20) 6
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3
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4
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(3 players)
Hero bets $0.70, BB raises to $2.35, CO folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BB raises to $9.60 all in, Hero calls $4.10

Turn: ($20.40) 9
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(2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($20.40) 4
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(2 players - 1 is all in)


Pre is standard, isolating the complete fish. The villain is pretty tight. Plays 16/14, however his AFq is 67 so he is pretty damn aggressive. That is the only reason for me continuing TBH. Even in the worst case scenario we have like 13 outs, besides I think this particular player can raise worse than sets here. Thoughts?
 
Last edited:
drdunks

drdunks

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Well played.

There's no way your getting away from the flop there. Even if he has got a set you've got the outs and price to call after the flop raise.

The only other alternative is to fold your massive draw when he raises which is not gonna happen ;). His range OTF is so wide that IMO you want it all in OTF.
 
Matt Vaughan

Matt Vaughan

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Just call on the flop. Your EV for gii will be about the same or maybe a bit worse than calling I think, and the variance will be huge when you gii cause you will always be behind, with only about 35% equity.

Also as kind of a side point, I wouldn't consider A2 a good hand to iso for value - just a good hand to iso with if they are playing super fit or fold post.
 
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