€10 NLHE 6-max: KQo on 245 flop: do you c-bet?

Verdue167

Verdue167

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 29/13/1.9

Hero opens UTG with KcQh, MP calls, the rest folds

flop comes 2d5c4c .

So we are out of position, and MP is a fairly decent 19/13/1.9 reg with a 48 % fold to cbet on flop.

A very simple question: do you continuation bet here? Why do you or why don't you? please motivate your answer.
 
3betfish

3betfish

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with those stats, villain can be calling from MP with any medium pocket pair, any low pocket pair, medium high suited connectors or semi-connectors. I would disregard hands like KQs+ ATs+ or 99+ as those would be his ideal 3-betting hands from MP.

If you C-bet here, villain would call OR raise with any 3x, any suited hand with clubs, any set, A5o or A5s. With villain folding 48% to cbets, villain would call with broadway hands sometimes. if villain thinks you c-bet too often, he'll lean more towards calling. if villain thinks you cbet rarely, he'll lean more towards folding.

simple answer: me personally, I would check from out of position to see what villain does
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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Yeah, your opponent calls a majority (52%) of cbets, and almost no hands are folding this flop. Just check/fold.
 
Matt Vaughan

Matt Vaughan

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I would vastly prefer cbetting ANY Ax hand in our range to KQ, though having the Kc does make this more reasonable as a spot to empty the clip. However this board on the whole favors the preflop callers likely range by a decent amount, and as C9 says, this is a guy who is already probably not folding all that often (on a distribution of board types). Take a board that favors his range and I'd rather nit it up and x/f this hand, and start to consider aggressive lines and maybe multiple barrels with Ax (particularly with backdoor flush draw) and with front door flush draws.
 
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