$10 NL HE 6-max: JJ in position vs tight 3bet range
I've actually been playing with my HUD off over the past few thousand hands (seem to make better reads, or just getting positive variance) and couldn't see the stats so reads are in the hand history.
His actual stats were 26/20/2.3
Since he seemed to be a reg, my stats on that table were 29/22/1.6
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt
Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com)
Hero (CO) ($10)
: Hero is CO with J
, J[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/diamond.gif]
, Hero bets $0.40
, 1 fold
, SB raises to $1.30
, 1 fold
, Hero calls $0.90
I've been fairly tight from CO on this table, he's very tight (and aggressive) from the SB so when he 3bets me it's big hand against big hand. Since I'm not happy getting JJ in pre-flop against a 3bet range that's entirely for value I'm just calling. If the flop is high I'll turn my hand into a bluff some of the time or give up depending on board texture and his bet sizing, if the flop is low I'm probably playing for stacks. I expect him to cbet 80% of the time or more, since I'm usually floating that I can't fold very often.
: ($2.70) 2[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/club.gif], 4[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/heart.gif], 4[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/club.gif] (2 players)
SB bets $1.65
, Hero calls $1.65
He cbets, standard. Just tells
me he usually has 99-AA, AK/AQ, stacks are going in. I'd shove but I don't want to lose AK/AQ and this guy is aggressive and if he's using a HUD my fold to cbet is disgustingly low so I expect him to bet again on most turns.
The poorly thought out part of my cunning plan is that A turns make me bluffable and K's and Q's hurt my equity a lot (but I still stack), I just didn't think this far ahead at the time.
: ($6) 7[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/spade.gif] (2 players)
SB bets $3.30
, Hero raises to $7.05 (All-In)
, SB calls $3.75
No more screwing around, nothing is folding, let's just get stacks in.
: ($20.10) 7[image: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerforum/images/smilies/club.gif] (2 players, 1 all-in)
$20.10 | Rake:
I expect someone will say "shove pre-flop" but I think stacking JJ 100bb deep at $10nl without me or villain having been playing loose is very spewy. If you disagree, please explain why.
My main issues with this hand are:
Pre-flop: what do I do? Provided that I don't spew horribly post-flop, calling is +EV and raising is... I don't know.
Flop: Shove or call?