$10 NLHE 6-max: can i value bet this river?

rssurfer54

rssurfer54

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$10 NL HE 6-max: can i value bet this river?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 21/15/1

PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (CO): €10.15
BTN: €12.18
SB: €3.71
BB: €6.88
UTG: €19.84
MP: €18.51

SB posts SB €0.05, BB posts BB €0.10

Pre Flop: (€0.15) Hero has J:diamond: J:heart:

fold, MP raises to €0.40, Hero raises to €1.20, fold, fold, fold, MP calls €0.80

Flop: (€2.55, 2 players) 7:club: 6:heart: 7:diamond:
MP checks, Hero bets €2.00, MP calls €2.00

Turn: (€6.55, 2 players) T:diamond:
MP checks, Hero checks

River: (€6.55, 2 players) A:spade:
MP checks, Hero ?
 
rssurfer54

rssurfer54

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hey guys for some reason my comments got lost.

Only 32 hands, still seemed somewhat solid.

I dont like my turn at all, trying to add tables and end up with bad decisions like this one.

Still, after that, can I value bet this river? I think I'm ahead of a lot of hands here, any ten, maybe 22-55, 88, 99. The way it played out I think he could put me on missed overs or something. Im kinda lost, wished I had just bet the turn :(. What do you guys think?
 
Q

QTipDTB

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Unfortunately, it's just a terrible river card for you. Not because it's an over to your pair, but because it just fits so well with your perceived range. Assuming you never get c/r bluffed, you'll need have him call with 50% worse hands than better hands. I don't see any reasonable assumption where that happens. Just have to check it back.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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You can value bet the turn!!!!!!
 
The Dark Side

The Dark Side

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Yeah you should have bet the turn.
 
A

AlexeyN

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the seven will be pretty seldom in his 3-bet call range. It looks like AJs, AQ, mb TT, some low pairs for set mining. But the biggest part of this combinations is beating by you.
That's easy, but what about villain's 3-bet stats? How often he calls 3-bet? How often he calls pfr 3bet? Mb he called inthe hope you are 1 barrel monkey with air?
What's your history with this opponent?
 
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