$10 NLHE 6-max: Can I get a street by street on this?

J

Jonny03UK

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I think I played this fine pre and on the flop. The turn is up for debate but I don't think it's terrible. $1.30 to win $7.30 with two pair?

IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2218768
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $10.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 2.3, hands: 80291
SB: $10.20 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 2.7, Hands: 5948
BB: $12.71 - VPIP: 53, PFR: 35, 3B: 16, AF: 1.2, Hands: 43
UTG: $11.15 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.2, Hands: 4715
MP: $9.85 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 25, 3B: 8, AF: Infinity, Hands: 24
CO: $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 2.7, Hands: 23120

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 4
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A
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3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.90) 2
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4
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A
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(3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB folds, BB calls $0.60

Turn: ($2.10) 6
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(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.30, BB raises to $2.60, Hero calls $1.30

River: ($7.30) 7
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(2 players)
BB bets $5.47, Hero ??

This river bet makes me think he's hit something better than two pair here and I have to give up the hand but I'm not 100%, so this is why I'm posting. 53/35 over a smallish sample. Perhaps he's just aggressive and he's outplayed me with a strong Ace? I just can't tell. Someone enlighten me?
 
S

ScottishMatt

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Look at his stats. He don't outplay shit. He has a flush no doubt. I dislike the turn bet. Relative to the board your hand isn't all that great, the only hands you can extract value from are Ax with a decent heart. Even though fish call wide they are also fearful players, don't expect them to get all heroic on dangerous boards.

As played I probably call turn as he may spazz now and then, definitely fold river though. From now on try to think about what his range is weighted towards before betting, although he can call with worse he will be continuing with better so much more often. So check it back OTT and go for a half pot bet if river bricks.
 
igySK

igySK

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bet more on turn, around 1.50-1.60 and fold to a raise.
 
Deco

Deco

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Bet more on the flop you've a super wet flop with both straight and flush draws plus a huge whale.

The turn is very close as this is a flush almost always but think the call is close we need to win a little more than 20% of the time 8% of the time we make a fullhouse and take his stack. Our implied odds combined with the rare times we're actually ahead make this a call imo. If we add the rest of his stack to the pot we need to win 10% of the time.
 
Deco

Deco

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Oh ye bet on the turn is fine we should be betting way more than just flushes vs a guy this fishy an ace, 3, 5 or heart are never leaving us.

River is a snap fold.
 
vinylspiros

vinylspiros

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FOLD river. its an easy fold in my opinion. aces and sixes look amazing on the flop but got really ugly on the turn, especially with the line villain has taken.
 
xdeucesx

xdeucesx

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Bet more on the flop you've a super wet flop with both straight and flush draws plus a huge whale.

The turn is very close as this is a flush almost always but think the call is close we need to win a little more than 20% of the time 8% of the time we make a fullhouse and take his stack. Our implied odds combined with the rare times we're actually ahead make this a call imo. If we add the rest of his stack to the pot we need to win 10% of the time.

this ^
 
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