$10 NLHE 6-max: How much can I get from this fish on the river?

I have no doubt at all that I have the best hand here and I'm betting this river no matter what happens. My question is, how much can I squeeze out of this fish?

My stack is about 20c over the pot so I guess jamming isn't totally out of the question but my thoughts are that if I do that, he may not call. If I bet small and he does call I'll be left wondering if I could have got more. This isn't a problematic hand in the slightest, it just raises the issue of how much to bet.

So, how much do YOU bet on this river? Half pot? 2/3 or 3/4? Jam?

I may just be over-thinking this and regardless of what size bet I could make, he'd fold anyway. Still, a 49/7 - he's probably never folding a queen there!

IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2150426
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $24.00 - VPIP: 49, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 2.3, hands: 108
Hero (BTN): $15.60 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 2.4, Hands: 74676
SB: $20.72 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 3.1, Hands: 629
BB: $4.36 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 11, 3B: 3, AF: 2.9, Hands: 1206
UTG: $10.15 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 4.1, Hands: 1229
MP: $3.00 - VPIP: 49, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 2.3, Hands: 108

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 6 6
UTG raises to $0.40, 1 fold, CO calls $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 1 fold, BB calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.65) Q 6 Q (4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, CO bets $0.82, Hero raises to $1.70, BB folds, UTG folds, CO calls $0.88

Turn: ($5.05) 5 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $2.80, CO calls $2.80

River: ($10.65) K (2 players)
CO checks, Hero ??

He either missed his flush draw, in which case you get nothing. Or he has a Q, in which case he is never folding no matter what size you bet. Shove and be happy.

Bet bigger on the turn.

WVHillbilly said:

Bet bigger on the turn.

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lol just shove flop.. a 49/7 is not folding a Q or a flush draw.
An prob talks his self in the calling with a 6

I know it's sounds crazy but i'm right

I find it odd that the CO and the MP have the exact same stats.

In fact I find that really odd.

Bet bigger thru out the hand so that all your chips are in before the river.

WVHillbilly said:

Bet bigger on the turn.

Click to expand...

I was meaning to and I see the smaller bet as a bit of a flaw. I was multi-tabling and running out of time. Hit the half pot button and raised it up a few notches before having to put it in the pot for fear of auto-checking.

dj11 said:

I find it odd that the CO and the MP have the exact same stats.

In fact I find that really odd.

Bet bigger thru out the hand so that all your chips are in before the river.

Click to expand...

Must just be HEM messing that one up. Double checked it and the CO is a 51/8 and MP is 46/21. It got the number of hands right for one of them though!

Raise the flop bigger, against a reg this would be a spot I;d flat to let other people in. Against a deep fish this is defo a raise.
$2.40/$3 should do the job.

and ye bet turn bigger, queens we'll stack all day everyday as long as you don't make retardedly small bets, the flush draws we need to get as much money out of on the turn and flop as we can as they won't be calling the river if they brick.