This is a discussion on €10 NLHE 6-max: hitting trips on river and facing a shove v stationesque reg on lowball board within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 32/20/1.2
V is pretty decent reg though loose pre and has a 3/3 steal sbvbb. I call his double barrel top pair and
To start with I think this player accurately read your hand. I know its not too difficult to see strength once you call a double barrel but checking the river with the intention to c/r is fairly well played.
We break even at 29% + rake. This action is polarising and I doubt v has enough air in their range. So foldings best given the action. V rarely does this with overpairs. Which are now probably played as bluff catchers.
Pre Im not folding either. I can go either way with a raise or call.
Vs flop/turn bets arent small and we could possibly fold to the turn one. Double barrels are polarising too, we lose a lot of air/unmade hands here. But having top pair callings ok as well given our equity and probable implied odds.
We have to value bet this river. We get value from 99+ and possibly 77 thats 31 combos (this is in my head while shopping) and lose to 9 set combos (I think V bets all pairs on this flop so potentially turned 3s) A8 4 combos, and K8s, J8s, T8s, 98s 1 combo each. We get value from more than we lose too overall. Im not sure V raises 86s ,85s pre. If so they even each other out somewhat anyway. 1 of each.
Folding these almost too obvious but to tempting to fold spots will make a big difference to our bb/100.
March 17th, 2018, 12:17 AM
Join Date: Jan 2007
re: Poker & €10 NLHE 6-max: hitting trips on river and facing a shove v stationesque reg on lowball board
Don't show the results. I play it the same, except fold the river. When a station makes a huge polarizing play, they usually have it. A 1.2 AF is pretty passive.