$10 NLHE 6-max: Herocall this river in 3b pot?
only 86 hands on villain, hes 32/19. awkwardly enough his button raise first is only 13%, but his PFR for button is 20% so i feel like i have a bit of a sampling error. 0% f3b over 4 samples. aggF 2.3 with infinite river aggression (35% flop, 33% turn, 67% river). fold to Cbet 50% in 3b pots, 43% OTF and 33% OTT overall, so hes fairly sticky.
Cant be sure what my stats were like for that table, but my 3b vs steal in BB is 8%, overall 3b 6% from BB, Cbet after 3bing 75%
flat/flat/overbet shove feels like a flush draw to me. i cant see him playing a Q like this, and hes 4b 1/3 times so i can be relatively sure that he doesnt have AA/KK/QQ despite small sample imo. i guessss he could have flopped/turned a set but would he really bet it like that OTR considering i checked?
seems like a snap OTR to me but curious as to what others think.
View hand 1874553
DeucesCracked Poker Videos (http://www.deucescracked.com/?referrer=converter_dc) Hand History Converter (http://www.handconverter.com)
Hero (BB): $13.78
($0.15) Hero is BB with T ♠
, BTN raises to $0.20
, 1 fold
, Hero raises to $1
, BTN calls $0.80
($2.05) 2 ♦
Q ♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $1.07
, BTN calls $1.07
($4.19) 7 ♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $2.20
, BTN calls $2.20
($8.59) 2 ♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $9.63 all in
, Hero ?????
we both have pretty much the same stack so ESS ~135BBs. so i have to call ~the full overbet