$10 NLHE 6-max: Commit with JJ pre?

I have played a bit with SB and he (she, IDK her avatar is a girl??) seems pretty decent. Not out of line. His 3 bet vs open is biggest from the SB (18%), and a great squeezing opportunity, but he is either pushing or folding to a 4 bet here, and I am either facing a fold or a re raise with better/flip at best. I dont think SB has a calling ranger here at all, so a 4 bet will get me in with the fish and SB or just the fish. cause he aint going anywhere. A fold is lower variance, but the correct move here?

poker stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1685892
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $11.84 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 2.5, hands: 181302
SB: $19.44 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 3, AF: 4.7, Hands: 859
BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 9, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 5.0, Hands: 117
UTG: $6.00 - VPIP: 42, PFR: 20, 3B: 0, AF: 1.3, Hands: 217
CO: $2.89 - VPIP: 72, PFR: 6, 3B: 6, AF: 2.2, Hands: 47

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with J :spade: J :diamond:
UTG raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, SB raises to $1.40, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.10, 1 fold, Hero ???

Nice play to flat here to induce spazz from squeezy SB, obviously stick it in now.

Dead money + high likelihood of shared overs between SB/UTG + UTG will say, "F it," and stack off a huge range = gambool.

I squeeze pre. We crush two fishy shorties 3bet flatting/stacking ranges here.

As played SBs tiny 3bet% is a concern especially as they're rarely bluffing vs the shorty fish. What's villains squeeze%? Does that 3bet open from SB stats have any convergence?
Might do a stove on this later vs a AK/QQ+ range. We may see TT/JJ if villains smart or bluffs if villains dumb. squeeze% would be nice as their 3bet% paints a nitty picture which makes me think AK/QQ+ is their most likely range.

Deco said:

I squeeze pre. We crush two fishy shorties 3bet flatting/stacking ranges here.

As played SBs tiny 3bet% is a concern especially as they're rarely bluffing vs the shorty fish. What's villains squeeze%? Does that 3bet open from SB stats have any convergence?
Might do a stove on this later vs a AK/QQ+ range. We may see TT/JJ if villains smart or bluffs if villains dumb. squeeze% would be nice as their 3bet% paints a nitty picture which makes me think AK/QQ+ is their most likely range.

Click to expand...

his paragraph said his 3bet from sb was around 18%. I think the play is alright and i'm down for shoving but i'd still probably just 3bet pre

bgomez89 said:

his paragraph said his 3bet from sb was around 18%.

Click to expand...

Ye I was asking how converged it is. It doesn't match up with villains 3% 3bet and sounds like a very specific stat that will take eons to converge.

I'm inclined to ignore the open from SB stat in favour of villains overall 3bet%.

your sample is not big enough to consider his 3bet from the sb. he probably did it once

you should have 3bet and fold to a 4bet.