Originally Posted by John A
You must be a limit holdem player. Yeah, this is no-limit, so your bet size calcs aren't going to apply here since hands will be going to showdown less. I'm not even going to comment on how you arrived at your variance range.
But any ways, you had a read that you went with. Is there something here that people who didn't observe the hand will be able to tell you that you want to know? Betting the flop is marginally ok with the correct bet sizing, but you'd need to bet larger or check. But w/o applying a specific read, then folding the river would be appropriate since he's betting into two people and one of those people has been the aggressor in the hand.
I just put my read part
my bet targeting to offer a slightly bad odds to spade draw and pairs.
but could not beat something like weak K+spade
besides if betting pot, at this table could not preventing draws to call, esp this table.
since BB snap call, means he is round 25% of the range.
flop VS this bet,
both two player think and call
means there is no big flush
there may be some set, KX, pair+spade, +A/Q spade+single card.
there are tank for odds, esp big blinds. if he got A with trash,here he got the right odds to call at least.
the turn, both quick check,
there fore no, set, no KX, because KX at least might put a bet, same is set.
there range is pretty transparent.
A/Q sapade+trash or middle pair+spade.
river definitely is a blank
Big blinds donk river is not scarey at all.
He is using either weak pair+spade to donk or A spade/Q spade to donk [ the only combo I lost here is 99 hit set, but it is very small part of his range]
considering Button mostly is a middle pair
I don't konw call better or raise better. because I do see button pays and want to win a side pot will here call using middle pair
but I called this river, think button might over call....I think raise looks like a bluff looks better.
and button tank and fold..
Big blinds is As
I am happy about my reads but not happy about river play. -- since button range is might some thing like TT,JJ, 66 something...I think button might call raise for the sake of side pot.[I think I might win something more here]
Adding: I watched 20 hands, think there is no multi tabling player, because the raising and esp river betting size everyone at least one hand is manually input. and besides some tells