re: Poker & $10 NLHE 6-max: $ : ATs squeeze, villain donks A high flop
I'm quite surprised by some of the comments on this hand. Calling the turn in position is a no brainer in my opinion.
Even if we give him a strong value range of ~only~ sets and 2p hands that are beating us (88, 44, A8, A4, A3... didn't add in AA or junky stuff like 43s), we still have about 30% equity. Let's keep in mind that 8 cards will give us the stone nuts and 4 more (3 Ts and the 4d) still make the best hand here 70%-75% of the time on average against the aforementioned range. Our pot odds
on the turn are 2:1 so we almost but not quite have direct odds to call even if he's not putting another penny into the pot afterward.
Now, there are two key factors here that make folding a bit silly. First, as most of the replies here seem to acknowledge, this player is going to show up with something stupid on the river here sometimes. You can't discount the retard factor altogether nor can you guarantee we're even behind ott (although yes it's probable). The above range I used is giving this player too much credit. Second, we're getting the rest of his his stack should we bink. He has 40% or so of the pot behind him when called and (given that he seems fishy and wasn't even full to begin the hand) he's certainly not check/folding aces up or a set or anything like that to less than half the pot because a backdoor flush materialized. You're essentially risking tree fiddy ott to win 15 bucks and you have more than enough equity to take that risk.
I'd be interested in seeing an argument for folding from anyone who advocates it.