$10 NLHE 6-max: AK hi on turn move.

Villain is 25/13/2AF fold to 3b 55% and he 4bet+ pre 3/19.

fold to cbet 55%. 1000 hands (almost)

***** Cassava Hand History for Game 394165553 *****
$0.05/$0.10 Blinds No Limit Holdem - *** 23 02 2013 00:59:12
Table Rochester (real money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: 60Alex27 ( $17.39 )
Seat 6: pantelgr21 ( $11.43 )
Seat 7: redwards1905 ( $11.45 )
Seat 9: penny4mysoul ( $10.05 )
penny4mysoul posts small blind [$0.05]
60Alex27 posts big blind [$0.10]
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to penny4mysoul [ Kh, As ]
pantelgr21 raises [$0.35]
redwards1905 folds
penny4mysoul raises [$1.10]
60Alex27 calls [$1.05]
pantelgr21 folds
** Dealing flop ** [ 9d, Qs, 2d ]
penny4mysoul bets [$1.32]
60Alex27 calls [$1.32]
** Dealing turn ** [ Qc ]
penny4mysoul checks
60Alex27 bets [$2.64]
penny4mysoul raises [$7.58]


what are your thoughts?
I assume he 4bets AA and KK, I thought he has JJ here and I was thinking he will check it down in position but when he bets so weak on turn I assume he doesn't even have JJ or TT and it is most likely trying to take the hand right here because he has no decent showdown value.

If he has 99 or 22 which might be possible he will most likely call turn in position hoping I bet river.

Other possibility might be an A hi flush draw, which he will fold to the shove.
KQ, AQ or QJ I can't see why he would play it that way especially giving that the original raiser is also a reg.

888 Poker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BB: 173.9 BB
CO: 114.3 BB
BTN: 114.5 BB
Hero (SB): 100.5 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Kh As

CO raises to 3.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11.5 BB, BB calls 10.5 BB, fold

Flop: (26.5 BB, 2 players) 9d Qs 2d
Hero bets 13.2 BB, BB calls 13.2 BB

Turn: (52.9 BB, 2 players) Qc
Hero checks, BB bets 26.4 BB, Hero raises to 75.8 BB

Seems like he will have PP here a lot which (I guess) he will fold unless 22/99. You have enough hands on him to make some decisions about his play. So, since you discount AA-KK Qx hands, thats leaves you vs 6 set combos that aint folding, and a lot of PP (I am assuming he rarely plays anything else here) that will have to decide how FOS your shove is. But your line is super strong, so I like it.

what do you rep?

duggs said:

what do you rep?

Click to expand...

IMO, AA-KK-AQs, among other things. The 3 bet pre plus post flop line all look strong.

What would it look like to you?

airballs, why would any hand you listed c/j turn?

fletchdad said:

IMO, AA-KK-AQs, among other things. The 3 bet pre plus post flop line all look strong.

What would it look like to you?

Click to expand...

I would take away AQs though no? If we wanted to rep the Q here why would we shove on turn instead of callin IP and shoving river? I dunno. I just dont see him calling here enough when we want a call unless he has 99 or 22. So i'd like to think we're repping AA-KK. Which is what villain had I assume.

Villain had TJ os spades, he called.

c/f flop, it smashes his range pretty hard.

With a backdoor fd I sometimes cbet obviously with intention of barreling turned FDs (we have additional equity to barrel with, plus it makes his flopped flush draws less likely) but in general he's just got too many connecting hands to bother cbetting. Villain's range for flatting a 3bet is broadways (QJ/QT/KT/KJ/JT/AQ/KQ) which all flopped a pair or some kind of draw that doesn't fold, suited connectors that flopped a FD some % of the time, and pocket pairs which often take a barrel or two to get him off of.