$10 NLHE 6-max: AK 3bet pot, I hate my line

C

ComplexPlaya

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 24/15/4

530 hands on villain, he folds 73% to 3bets. His calling range here looks strong to me, 77+ and AQ+, KK and AA included if he wants to draw the button in.

I just don't see many flush draws in his range (although at these stakes I think ranges aren't necessarily what they seem, i.e. a 5% range may not be the top 5%, seen this alot)

He may of course peel with 99-TT, but I thought most of it is TPTK, sets, KK-AA that didn't 4-bet and the QJ 2-pairs. Am I wrong / pessimistic with this assesment? Should I just shove the turn instead of c/f ? Or bet bigger on the flop?

I just hate this line because it opens myself up to a bluff, but I don't know how I can play this differently...

Hero (SB): €9.90
BB: €10.12
UTG: €9.92
BTN: €11.32

Hero posts SB €0.05, BB posts BB €0.10

Pre Flop: (€0.15) Hero has K:spade: A:heart:

fold, BTN raises to €0.30, Hero raises to €1.10, BB calls €1.00, BTN calls €0.80

Flop: (€3.30, 3 players) 8:club: J:spade: Q:spade:
Hero bets €2.40, BB calls €2.40, fold

Turn: (€8.10, 2 players) 3:diamond:
Hero checks, BB bets €6.62 and is all-in, fold

BB wins €7.70
 
Pascal-lf

Pascal-lf

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He doesn't float light on a board like that in a 3bot pot.

Either c/f flop or c-bet a lot smaller.
 
B

Boomswitch

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Check fold flop Imo. That flop hits his range big time. By c-betting your hand (effectively turning it into a bluff) you are only gonna swell the pot and have a super difficult decision on the turn. Do not over play AK hands on super wet flops.
 
Pascal-lf

Pascal-lf

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The only reason I'd ever c-bet would be if he was a reg who loved to setmine IP in 3bet pots BTW.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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The only reason I'd ever c-bet would be if he was a reg who loved to setmine IP in 3bet pots BTW.

I think almost everyone does at 10NL. But it was more complicated being a 3-way pot. For that reason too I don't see c/r working too much, as ppl bluff way less in multi-way pots.

So I guess you guys don't think I have enough FE here to fire a cbet, combined with my (probable) 9 outs or so
 
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