$10 NLHE 6-max: AJs OOp

Bogdan Pyts

Bogdan Pyts

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 21/16/1.9



Hero (SB): $16 (100 bb)
BB: $17.79 (111.2 bb)
UTG: $16 (100 bb)
MP: $27.20 (170 bb)
CO: $10.72 (67 bb)
BTN: $27.94 (174.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with :ah4: :jh4:
UTG raises to $0.48, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.40, BB folds

Flop: ($1.12) :5h4: :jd4: :as4: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.64, Hero raises to $2.05, UTG calls $1.41

Turn: ($5.22) :7d4: (2 players)
Hero bets $3.36, UTG calls $3.36

River: ($11.94) :3d4: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $10.11 and is all-in, Hero ?

whether is fold here? I want to listen to your opinion.
i think it's jj, aq+
 
K

kozong

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looks like AQ/K dd to me

im folding too
 
Vini_lepoker

Vini_lepoker

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If you think he's holding JJ+, AQ+ you have 86% of equity Even if villain has AK+, JJ+ we are still ahead with 86%, there is just many more AK combos than JJ ones (only 2 left in the deck!). In my opinion you have to get it in on the river.
 
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John A

John A

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He's not jamming AK or AQ after he's been CR'd, then calling turn and jamming river. It's a much more narrow range than that.

What was your river plan when you bet that amount on turn? Were you planning on bet/folding even though you'd have insane odds, or were you just going to jam that size in?

He's so passive, I think check/fold is slightly > than jam on this runnout though, but you can't predict. It's close though. But ask played, you have to fold at this point.
 
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16clumsyandshy

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His stats definitely have me leaning toward a *sigh* fold.
 
R

RakeMyLife

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IMO u could've made this easier by:

A) 3-betting pre (playing AJ oop is the worst and if he 4-bets we're done)
B) Bet less on turn to control pot size oop
C) Don't check the river

As played, I think it's a fold. Feels like a slowplay.
 
Bogdan Pyts

Bogdan Pyts

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I think too what it slowplay
 
Aces2w1n

Aces2w1n

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i prefer flatting flop... no need to get him off hands we crush likw AQ, AK and put money in against JJJ AAA 555

even if we are crushed its not over theres a glimpse of hope but by raising flop you diminish that hope

if heart came turn... its a game changer or could be

make sure your thinking on future streets and when we can be crushed dont close the window. By raising we are screwed if we are beat with nowhere to go
 
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