$10 NLHE 6-max: AA 3 bet pot, sick flop

billdogg

billdogg

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Villian is 29/29 25% 3 bet

Full Tilt - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $10.00
SB: $6.90
BB: $10.31
UTG: $10.00
Hero (CO): $19.25

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has A:heart: A:spade:

fold, Hero raises to $0.35, fold, fold, BB raises to $1.10, Hero raises to $3.00, BB calls $1.90

Flop: ($6.05, 2 players) 9:diamond: 8:diamond: J:diamond:
BB bets $6.05,Hero ???

Even If he's on a draw, I can't be that much ahead. So is this an easy fold?
 
forsakenone

forsakenone

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I think you need to put in the money, villain seems really aggressive.
 
bgomez89

bgomez89

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looks like a coinflip from stove


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

43,560 games 0.003 secs 14,520,000 games/sec

Board: 9d 8d Jd
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.238% 48.31% 01.92% 21046 837.50 { KK-88, AJs+, KQs, AcKd, AdKc, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AsKd, AcQd, AdQc, AdQh, AdQs, AhQd, AsQd }
Hand 1: 49.762% 47.84% 01.92% 20839 837.50 { AhAs }

(change ranges if you think theyre wrong)
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Snap.

We probably have somewhere around the %50 equity mark as bg said, ofc that can change depending on how we change his range, but given the price of getting it in I don't see how we can ever fold.

I mean even vs a super tight range of 88+ and AKd/AQd we have %40 equity, and we're getting 2:1 so we only need to be good like %33 of the time. There are just way too many JT/AT/KT/Jx/9T etc to keep us well over that %33 mark.
 
billdogg

billdogg

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I struggled with what to do, that's why I posted it here. Not to be results oriented, but I did ship it, and he turned over JJ for top set.
 
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