$10 NLHE 6-max: Is this a standard call?

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baudib1

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Villain is unknown and posted early.

Only problem I see is that we have 9h so that removes a few combos like 98hh/T9hh/J9hh. Still, he has a ton of draws and the hands that beat us that he'd play this way aren't too many: 777, 222, 5555, 444, AJhh/AThh, 86, A3.

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
FullTiltPoker
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG bubs008 ($10.13)
UTG+1 Hero ($10)
CO El_Hefe713 ($10)
BTN Opasne ($13.28)
SB NovoAA ($22.91)
BB Cheafa ($10)

Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 A:spade: 9:heart:
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.40, El_Hefe713 calls $0.30, 3 folds

Flop: 7:heart: 2:heart: 5:diamond: ($0.85, 2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, El_Hefe713 calls $0.80

Turn: 5:club: ($2.45, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.60, El_Hefe713 calls $1.60

River: 4:spade: ($5.65, 2 players)
Hero checks, El_Hefe713 goes all-in $7.20, Hero goes all-in $7.20
 
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baudib1

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my estimation on a stove, need to call $7.20 to win $12.85.


Board: 7h 2h 5d 5c 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.541% 40.54% 00.00% 15 0.00 { As9h }
Hand 1: 59.459% 59.46% 00.00% 22 0.00 { 77, 55-44, 22, AQs, AhJh, AhTh, A3s, KhQh, KhJh, KhTh, Kh8h, QhJh, QhTh, Qh8h, JhTh, Jh8h, 98s, 96s, 86s }
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Villain's a fish and probably doesn't completely polarize his range here, instead merging some hands (88+/7x/4x/A2 or whatever) sometimes which causes a problem.

He also definitely has like 75s/5x a non-zero % of the time too.
 
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baudib1

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ah


Board: 7h 2h 5d 5c 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.091% 34.09% 00.00% 15 0.00 { As9h }
Hand 1: 65.909% 65.91% 00.00% 29 0.00 { 77, 55-44, 22, AQs, AhJh, AhTh, A5s, A3s, KhQh, KhJh, KhTh, Kh8h, K5s, QhJh, QhTh, Qh8h, JhTh, Jh8h, 98s, 96s, 86s, 75s, 65s, 54s }

low stakes players do occasionally merge by accident; I'd be surprised to see him shove 88-TT or to ever have JJ+/AK...
 
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baudib1

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So Chuck is this a fold vs. a random who posts?
 
billdogg

billdogg

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Maybe I'm too passive, but I don't think I could consider a 100BB pot with Ace high vs. complete unknown.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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I'd say yes baudib. We need to be good (7.20+5.65):7.20 = 1.78:1 =>1/2.78 = %36 of the time.

I`d also say the second range is more accurate than the first (and still doesn`t include overpairs, offsuit 5x, 7x, which definitely show up a non-zero % of the time and worsen our equity), so yeah. I fold.
 
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