$10 NLHE 6-max: 4bet shoving 77 against short-stacker with 29bb

6

6bet me

Visionary
Silver Level
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10NL 6-max zoom on pokerstars. Villain is unknown and has a 29bb stack.


BTN: $29.76
SB: $8.75
BB: $2.87
UTG: $23.66
Hero (MP): $11.76
CO: $10.42

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with 7:club: 7:spade:
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 3 folds, BB raises to $1, Hero raises to $11.76 all in, BB calls $1.87 all in

What do you think about the way hero played here? Is a 4bet shove correct, or should hero be folding here?
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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Simplest EV calculation ever.

Folding is zero EV, you can pretty much assume your opponent never folds here.

You're getting $2.57 to $3.22 on your shove, so you need 44% equity in this spot to jam. That's roughly around a 12% 3-bet rate (see equity calc below). You can use pokerstove to figure what 12% looks like, but it's pretty wide (55+, AJ+, KQ, Suited Broadways, and a lot of suited aces). So it's mostly just a judgement: Do you think shorty players at this level shove 22, AT, QJs, A2s. Stuff like that. And you know better than me.

ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
1,571,895,072 trials (Exhaustive)
77 44.98% (698,442,324 wins, 17,070,804 ties)
12% 55.02% (856,381,944 wins, 17,070,804 ties)
 
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