$10 NLHE 6-max: 4 bet AK, board double pairs

youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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pokerstars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

dr.hawkings (SB): $17.83
papua555 (BB): $11.33
11FERONA11 (UTG): $6.90
Chrisa85 (MP): $5.15
travalder (CO): $6.78
nincaukinh (BTN): $14.96

dr.hawkings posts SB $0.05, papua555 posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: ($0.15) dr.hawkings has Ac Kc

11FERONA11 raises to $0.30, fold, fold, nincaukinh raises to $0.90, dr.hawkings raises to $2.10, fold, fold, nincaukinh calls $1.20

Flop: ($4.60, 2 players) Ts Js Jh
dr.hawkings bets $2.30, nincaukinh calls $2.30

Turn: ($9.20, 2 players) Td
dr.hawkings checks, nincaukinh checks

River: ($9.20, 2 players) 6h

This is not my hand. Am I wrong in thinking we can triple barrel a nit off his range here?
 
JCgrind

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4b shove pre imo.

otherwise i like how its played. ch/f river. pretty sick but. his range here is pretty evenly TT+ and AK, and i dont think 10NL players are goign to put the pressure on and shove riv with ATC when you check 2 streets to them like they should.

EDIT: scratch that, need to know 3b stat aswell as positional 3b if possible
 
OMGITSOVER9K

OMGITSOVER9K

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4bet bigger since we're OOP, can't really see us getting folds here from much that beats us since we can't credibly rep anything bar quads (JJ?)

check and hope he has the worst played AK ever.
 
pocketehs

pocketehs

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4b shove pre imo.

otherwise i like how its played. ch/f river. pretty sick but. his range here is pretty evenly TT+ and AK, and i dont think 10NL players are goign to put the pressure on and shove riv with ATC when you check 2 streets to them like they should.

EDIT: scratch that, need to know 3b stat aswell as positional 3b if possible

3bet stat overall is ~7% and from the BTN its 11%.

Can we exclude AA KK here, you think? i think the only thing we get to fold by betting the turn is AKo and QQ
 
pocketehs

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Also the only thing I dont like about shipping is because the ESS is 150bbs.
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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What exactly are we trying to get to fold?

Dont get me wrong, as I said to Jake I think I would probably check it down but I want to test this line. Doesnt surprise me CC dont like the bluff line.. :D

His range is like TT+ and AQ+.

I think we can make AQ/K and overpairs fold because of how strong a triple barrel looks on that board, also hes a nit. The 2 combos of quads are very unlikely.
 
duggs

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ie AA loses to 2 combos.
KK loses to 8 combos.
QQ loses to 14 combos.

but more importantly nits dont fold QQ+
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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I'm saying we could bet turn and jam river.
 
WVHillbilly

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I don't even like betting the turn tbh. We probably fold the chops (which he's VERY unlikely to turn into river bluffs anyway) and nothing else. Just can't see a bet/bet/shove line as good here.
 
duggs

duggs

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i agree, i just wanted to clarify that chops never get to river.
 
WVHillbilly

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Yeah, I got a bit confused there between the actual hand vs YGM's fantasy spew line. ;)
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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Personally, as I said, I would check it down. I just wanted to see if people think we can get him to fold an overpair. Can a nit really call 3 street here with QQ-KK?

Maybe it's just hindsight.
 
WVHillbilly

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Nits don't fold overpairs! That's why set mining them is so profitable. They wait days to play a hand and by golly when they do they're going to see it through to the end!
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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When I make $10 million one day, you'll all be like why couldn't we spew like him.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Dude you have no idea on how to spew. Your redline says so. :)
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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Haha true, I was actually expecting you to be one of the only ones to say this was okay.

In reality I'm a nit that dreams of getting it in without the nuts.
 
JCgrind

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Nits don't fold overpairs! That's why set mining them is so profitable. They wait days to play a hand and by golly when they do they're going to see it through to the end!

+1
 
forsakenone

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AKs looks like a stack preflop to me, even against this nit.
 
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