$10 NLHE 6-max: 2nd pair nut flush draw vs calling station reg.

forsakenone

forsakenone

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First, make sure you check this hand out https://www.cardschat.com/forum/cash-game-hand-analysis-50/10-nlhe-6-max-tptk-scary-198188/

This hand happened a few hands later.

I remind you he goes to showdown about 42% of the time, I shove the river because he never folds to flop cbet or any kind of bet, so he floats a lot in and out of position, he folds to turn bet only about 1/3 of the time, but apparently he folds to river bet 2/3 of the time so I assume he chases any draw.

Given the history and the other hand I played with him, what line would you take in this hand?

Entraction - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

UTG: €4.06
BTN: €10.00
SB: €19.28
Hero (BB): €10.00

SB posts SB €0.05, Hero posts BB €0.10

Pre Flop: (€0.15) Hero has 9:diamond: A:diamond:

fold, fold, SB raises to €0.30, Hero calls €0.20

Flop: (€0.60, 2 players) 3:diamond: T:diamond: 7:heart:
SB bets €0.45, Hero raises to €1.57, SB calls €1.12

Turn: (€3.74, 2 players) 9:club:
SB checks, Hero bets €2.80, SB calls €2.80

River: (€9.34, 2 players) J:heart:
SB checks, Hero bets €5.33 and is all-in, SB calls €5.33
 
B

BigThingWithHolesInIt

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I'd 3-bet pre.

As played, why bet river? I don't see him calling with something you beat. I don't think he folds Tx either.
 
forsakenone

forsakenone

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I can understand 3 betting pre, however I assume we will go all in on the turn with 1 over, nut flush draw and second pair. the outcome, given the flop, would be the same, only difference being is that he folds a lot less to turn bets then he folds to river bets.
 
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BigThingWithHolesInIt

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I just think it's never too early to take the lead in betting against a calling station. He apparently calls with all kinds of hands you have great equity against.
Had the money gone in on the turn, great, if as you say he calls with all his draws...you're doing well against that range.

On this river however your shove has little to no equity against his calling range.
 
bgomez89

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don't raise the flop against this guy and just draw to a flush if you must.
 
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watchtowel

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I second drawing until you hit, if he's a calling station wait until you get your hand otherwise you will just end up with expensive draws! Could have paired the 10 but you seemed so strong he stopped betting but didn't want to fold either.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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1) I hate 3-betting pre.
2) I hate raising the flop.
3) River is meht, but I'd probably check since you've got a little showdown value. I don't think stationy regs are folding KT/QT/AT on this board, but I guess I could be wrong.
 
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