$10 NLHE 6-max: 16 outer did i have right odds?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 21/9/1.3

P1(BB) $10.89 - VP:21 PFR:9 AF:1.3 W:56|60 STL:0|67 3B:8| CB:100| N:11.92 hands:34
Me(UTG) $10.88 - VP:27 PFR:20 AF:2.0 W:43|17 STL:50|75 3B:5|0 CB:83|0 N:-19.82 Hands:51
P3(CO) $7.99 - VP:34 PFR:7 AF:1.7 W:46|67 STL:0|100 3B:0|0 CB:50|100 N:3.74 Hands:29
P4(BTN) $1.79 - VP:59 PFR:8 AF:4.8 W:35|50 STL:0|80 3B:0| CB:50|100 N:-1.21 Hands:39
P5(SB) $3.39 - VP:31 PFR:11 AF:1.0 W:31|40 STL:50|33 3B:0|0 CB:0|50 N:-6.66 Hands:45



Pre Flop: Me(UTG) with [Jc,Ac]
Me(UTG) raises 0.30, P3(CO) calls 0.30, P4(BTN) folds, P5(SB) folds, P1(BB) raises 1.15, Me(UTG) calls 0.95, P3(CO) calls 0.95


Flop: (Qc,8s,9c) (3 players)
P1(BB) bets 9.64, Me(MP) calls 9.63, P3(LP) folds


Turn: (Kh)



River: (9h)



Final:
Returns 0.01 to P1(BB)
P1(BB) shows [Kd,Ks]
P1(BB) wins 21.91




Since I have an A I can't put him on aa. Definitly figured jj-kk when I called. When I seen 16 outs which is going to win for me roughly 64% of the time..I will make money in the long run on this call right?

I think i would fold here since villain simply shoved the flop he can easily have an over pair or set. If he is indeed that strong then calling such a big bet is not a good idea. Rather lose the 1.15 $ invested than calling off close to 10$ with a draw right ??

I think you have 15 total outs.

Ill follow card odds here and call as well.

AJ can fold when someone raise more. and AJ shouldn't play too large.

I'd advise not getting in these spots by folding pre-flop when you get someone who's only raising 8% of their hands, squeezing your UTG hand from the blinds. It should have ended there. And because you have an A, doesn't mean he doesn't mean he doesn't have AA. It just reduces the odds. As played.... gamboool it up man and call.

Fine play here actually

Well, pot odds say that this decision was not a good one. You had 16 outs. That would equal just above 34%. This means that there would have to be $18.68 in the pot (including previous bet) before calling for it to be the right decision. There was only about $13.25 in the pot. Also, you should probably take rake into account. So, pot odds say that this was not a good decision. In my opinion, it probably was the wrong decision.

daredeviljo said:

Well, pot odds say that this decision was not a good one. You had 16 outs. That would equal just above 34%. This means that there would have to be $18.68 in the pot (including previous bet) before calling for it to be the right decision. There was only about $13.25 in the pot. Also, you should probably take rake into account. So, pot odds say that this was not a good decision. In my opinion, it probably was the wrong decision.

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16 outs on the flop means ~64% to hit an out actualy with 2 streets left . Against a decent range his equity is somewhere over 50%(close to 60% maybe) and definitely a call.

daredeviljo said:

Well, pot odds say that this decision was not a good one. You had 16 outs. That would equal just above 34%.

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you're forgetting that hero gets to see 2 cards to hit his outs, not one. therefore his equity is much higher. this is a call

daredeviljo said:

Well, pot odds say that this decision was not a good one. You had 16 outs. That would equal just above 34%. This means that there would have to be $18.68 in the pot (including previous bet) before calling for it to be the right decision. There was only about $13.25 in the pot. Also, you should probably take rake into account. So, pot odds say that this was not a good decision. In my opinion, it probably was the wrong decision.

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Allin on the flop, not the turn. So the pot odds is proper!