Originally Posted by Threesixes
I think you have to push. It will pay off more often than not. Im pretty sure it didnt in this case or you wouldnt be posting this.
lol, donīt believe iīm results oriented or that this is a bad beat story. Actually i like bad beats and i hate being lucky.
Well, i pushed and he called. He showed Ah3h.
He had the flush draw, a gutshot straight draw and an overcard, which made him favourite against my Kings.
It seems that i made the wrong decision, because when i pushed all my chips into the pot i was the underdog, but here it comes my final question: Was it really the wrong move? (i still donīt know and thatīs why i need your opinions). Could i really have prevent pushing all my chips as the underdog if i had had a read on him?
What iīm trying to say is this: Lets say that instead of joining the table i would have been watching it to take notes. The first hand i see is exactly the one i told (instead of me lets say that bjjdaddy had KK), so i take my notes and now i know how ProPlayer2005 plays that kind of hand.
Now i decide to join the table, and the first hand iīm dealt is KK. ProPlayer2005 raises, i reraise, he calls, the same flop is dealt, i bet and he reraises. Itīs exactly the same scenario. Now the real question comes: Would he play that Ah3h exactly the same as AhTh or 9h8h? I think the answer is yes, even if he didnīt have those extra straight outs he would have done the same, and in that case my push should be right.......i guess.
Now i have one more question: If he had JhQh (whis was very possible) the hand odds would have been almost 50%, and if he had AhXh it would have been nearly 53%-47% (with me as the favourite). If i thought he had one of those hands, was the push correct or not?
Iīm still confused, so any answer will be very helpful.