% to win program?

K_Kahne_Fan

K_Kahne_Fan

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Is there a program out there which can show something like the below image? Or would it be hard to create one from saved HH? Or somehow could use PokerTracker DB to create it. Just thought it would be interesting to see since so many people say "I always get sucked out on."

Forgot to put the legand, but it would be:
Green: Ahead
Red: Behind

And this would use all available HH's to create your current standing.
 

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SavagePenguin

SavagePenguin

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PokerStove has this for hands you were all-in on. It's a line graph rather than a bar graph, and shows your expected winnings compared to your actual winnings.

That is, if you were 90% to win it figures you should win 90% of that pot. So winning would have you ahead of what you "should" be, and losing would have you way below.

I'm actually luckier than I deserve to be when I'm all-in. Obviously rigged!
 
K_Kahne_Fan

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I'll check that out. I was actually thinking more along the lines of just you were ahead/behind here and then you were ahead/behind here... Not really were COULd you have been with money.
 
K_Kahne_Fan

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I loaded pokerstove and didn't see that feature. Is it on pokertrace? I tried to DL pokertrace, but it won't DL for some reason.
 
K_Kahne_Fan

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I redid the picture (posted below) and sent it to Poker Tracker and this is the response I received...

PokerTracker said:
We plan on adding Estimated Value (EV) stats into PokerTracker 3 therefore producing a graph such as this should not be very hard. This is on our to-do list :)

Best regards,

Derek
 

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zachvac

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PokerEV has this for showdown hands, but even that I think would be flawed because in a multi-way pot you could for example have an overpair against a flush draw, high-end OESD and low-end OESD and then the only one who calls is the one that hits and you can't see the other 2 hands. I don't know if it compensates for that but that's the reason it's tough to do. You could do something specifically for examples, like how often do you set, how often do you hit your OESD or flush draws etc. but you can't do % to win if you don't know the other guy's cards and in a multi-way pot even if you do reach showdown with 1 opponent, anyone who folded may have decreased your % to win and it would over-estimate your % to win and thus over-estimate how much bad luck you've gotten.
 
K_Kahne_Fan

K_Kahne_Fan

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I play mostly SNG's where, when a showdown is seen it's usually due to an AI on the board in which case cards are turned up. I can see your point as far as when cards aren't turned up, the above chart would ONLY be specific to when a) all cards are turned up b) you lose and PT knows your hand AND the winners hand. If you win and loser mucks it wouldn't catch it.
 
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