What are the ODDS of this?

Poker Orifice

Poker Orifice

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What are the odds of this? Talk about good side of variance???

Last week I watched the final table play out on ipoker network (the Sun $200K guar., a $215 buyin, ~1,000 runners in it). There's one guy on the table & it's his very first Tournament played on ipoker (Zero SNG's, Zero HU Sng.. & Zero hands of cash games). He ends up taking 3rd for $16k.

Pretty decent huh. A bit odd.... but not crazy odd.
So this week I open up final table of ipoker's $200Kguar., it's HeadsUP & who do I see?? Same guy!!!! I figure he must've played a handful of tourneys since last week... Nope! This is his 2nd Game played on ipoker... & now he's HeadsUp in it, LOL.
Now that's a tad unusual. So I think, "maybe he's a HSMTT reg. from the US & has just opened up an ipoker account? Curious now I look him up on PTR & he's '0' on there (no.. not zero hands played... 0 as in a rating of ZERO ->> under 500hands played -15.58bb/100, playing .05./.10PLO sh, & a few hundred hands of 100nlHU... down a few hundred).

Oh damn. Poor guy. He just went out in 2nd (99 < TT aipf). $22,000 Not too bad for 2nd tourney.

I'd say this is a fair bit more odd than a guy with 150 games played, avg buyin $1.48, going deep in the $5k WCOOP MainEvent (which was pretty weird too... but not this crazy).
 
KerouacsDog

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wierd. guess he's new to the site, and plays a lot under a differtednt name at other sites?
 
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RamdeeBen

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lol @ run good.

The amount of coin flips (or getting it in bad) he must of won will be unreal. He must be mega + EV, surely can't be "that" good to make it to the FT 2 weeks in a row.
 
JusSumguy

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It's all about that fold button.


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Poker Orifice

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wierd. guess he's new to the site, and plays a lot under a differtednt name at other sites?
The PTR '0' was his same player name but on 'pokerstars'.
lol @ run good.

The amount of coin flips (or getting it in bad) he must of won will be unreal. He must be mega + EV, surely can't be "that" good to make it to the FT 2 weeks in a row.
Yah for sure, although stacks are pretty deep in this tourney (so he may not have even been allin much at all... or at all) > 10,000chip stacks, 15min. levels (& not levels like SunMill), 15/30, 25/50, etc. (they go up slowly).. no antes til into the 3rd hour.
It's all about that fold button.
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Huh?
 
O

only_bridge

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Ipoker has like 44 different poker sites sharing the same network.
He is probably a reg, who has just changed to a different site.
 
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Pokertron3000

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Is Ipoker one of those sites that you cab change your ID on weekly and would that have any impact on it?
 
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dan abnormal

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dang and I can rarely if ever take down $2 MTT's and this dude takes down more than I will win in my poker career LOL in his first 2 games. I dont know but folks who play these higher up games claim the donk level is pretty consistant, just a richer donk I guess. But I got much room to talk about donks, just sometimes I think I need to take shots is bigger MTTs
 
JOEBOB69

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50\50
 
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