What to do when my instinct tells me one thing but my brain tells me something else?
Here's an example. I was in the cut off with 55 unopened pot so raise to 18c stakes are 3/6c. Only the big blind calls. Flop kq4 2 diamonds. He checks I bet 18 he thinks a tiny bit than calls. Turn q still 2 diamonds. Now he instant checks. Now I have zero history with this guy. HOWEVER I don't know why maybe it's how he reacted to everything but it FEELS like he's on some kind of draw. However he could easily have a queen a king and if he has a 4 I might get river value... Put it this way, if I didn't have any feelings on what he had apart from he's likely to have a pair or a draw, i would most of the time give him the free card on the river since it's more of a guess than anything... So my brain says checks but my instinct says bet... I decide to checks ( I actually ran out of time ), and the river comes a 9 of diamonds, he checked I check back he had a10 clubs, so I missed value on the turn... What do you guys think?