JohnBoyWWFC
Grindddddd
Silver Level
Is it always right to take those +EV situations even when you think you're a massive underdog?
Take today as an example. I'm playing a FR cash game and have KK, I raise UTG to 3x the Big Blind and get 3 bet, by a player I have around 500 hands on at these stakes who is a massive nit and has a 3Bet percentage of around 1%. Now, I've raised from Early position and know I have a tight image and villain has 3 bet, I do not put him/her on AK/JJ/AQs nor do I think she has QQ, statistically unlikely to have KK and even them I'm just throwing the money to the rake or she could have AA and I'm a 20% dog. Is a fold right here? I laid it down and will never know if I was right, but should you take the chance with pocket Kings here?
Another hand I played, there was a raise from UTG+1 and a call from middle position, I call the 3x raise from the cutoff with 55 and flop comes 56Q, lovely. The original raiser raises a tiny amount, middle p-osition folds and I re raise and the original raiser shoves. Now of course it could be AQ/KK/AA in which case I'm a dominant favourite, but the tiny flop bet followed by a shove made me think QQ for set over set. I called and villain has QQ.
There was another hand where I said out loud to myself what the villain had but called anyway because I felt I can't lay this hand down. I don't recall what it was but I was right again.
Is it wrong to call here, or should we always take a +EV situation. I'm not talking calling along with Middle pair because your opponent is some 97% VPIP crazy lag player who bets every street only to lose to his randomly flopped 2 pair with 83, I mean genuinely good hands, when your instincts simply tell you're losing, in a cash game, should you always take the odds and say well, I'm going to win here most of the time and just get it in?
Take today as an example. I'm playing a FR cash game and have KK, I raise UTG to 3x the Big Blind and get 3 bet, by a player I have around 500 hands on at these stakes who is a massive nit and has a 3Bet percentage of around 1%. Now, I've raised from Early position and know I have a tight image and villain has 3 bet, I do not put him/her on AK/JJ/AQs nor do I think she has QQ, statistically unlikely to have KK and even them I'm just throwing the money to the rake or she could have AA and I'm a 20% dog. Is a fold right here? I laid it down and will never know if I was right, but should you take the chance with pocket Kings here?
Another hand I played, there was a raise from UTG+1 and a call from middle position, I call the 3x raise from the cutoff with 55 and flop comes 56Q, lovely. The original raiser raises a tiny amount, middle p-osition folds and I re raise and the original raiser shoves. Now of course it could be AQ/KK/AA in which case I'm a dominant favourite, but the tiny flop bet followed by a shove made me think QQ for set over set. I called and villain has QQ.
There was another hand where I said out loud to myself what the villain had but called anyway because I felt I can't lay this hand down. I don't recall what it was but I was right again.
Is it wrong to call here, or should we always take a +EV situation. I'm not talking calling along with Middle pair because your opponent is some 97% VPIP crazy lag player who bets every street only to lose to his randomly flopped 2 pair with 83, I mean genuinely good hands, when your instincts simply tell you're losing, in a cash game, should you always take the odds and say well, I'm going to win here most of the time and just get it in?