Originally Posted by ChuckTs
It just sounds like you're in a funk - your sample size is tiny. I'd also suggest sticking to the $22s for bankroll management purposes. Variance in STTs is huge and I really think you should be playing with a smaller % of your roll.
I mentioned this in some HA threads of yours, but I'd suggest picking up an ICM calculator to review your hands. The widely accepted 'best' one is sng wizard and it's about $100. You're missing out on a huge edge if you don't use one. STTs, especially turbos, can basically be beaten purely on mathematics and ICM calculators help tremendously in that area by basically telling you exactly what range to play in what situations depending on the chip stack sizes and the calling/pushing ranges of your opponents.
So I did run a dozen of SNG histories through SnGWiz. Great tool indeed, although it's not "purely mathematics" as you say as it depends on the calling ranges you assign to the villains.
From what I've seen, it looks like i'm mostly taking the right decisions in push-fold mode, but apparently I'm slightly too tight in the SB and slightly too loose on the button. I'll try to correct that.
An update on my results: I'm still running hot at 42% ITM and 25% ROI over 150 SNGs at $20+2 and $22+2 , and I still suck at the $30+3 and $33+3 with 10% ITM and -76% ROI over 20 SNGs.
I think I'll stop trying for the 30s until the end of the month and focus on 4 tabling the 20s for a while. Probably wait until I have a bankroll of more than $1500 before I try to move up again.