Originally Posted by cardriverx
what? lol each hand has the same probability. If I get AA one hand, it doesn't change the chance of getting AA the next lol. It does not get "proportionally less."
Have you ever been stuck in groundhog day?
Of course each hand is unique and has the exact same probabilities of some particular event occurring. However, as Egon said, any session, tourney or ring, will not be completely dominated by you getting 83o every hand (if I could I would make you suffer such a session.)
So if you rely on probabilities, you must realize that while 200 or so hands will seldom fill all the probability cubby holes (can't actually becuz there are 1326 unique possible holdem starting hands), the range of your hands will fit a gross approximation of the range of probabilities of 200 or so hands.
Deductive logic says that you could actually get 43 43o's in a row. Inductive logic says that event is more improbable than just about anything else you could imagine, and thus won't happen with a very very very large certainty.
I should add that the laws of probabilities will seek standard distributions over time. This is why I believe that a streak of crummy cards will be offset by (hopefully) a streak of grand cards. Which then suggests that our tiltee is suffering an abnormal distribution of streakiness, and should therefore be happy with an extended streak of crummy cards as the implication is that an extended streak of grand cards is somewhere down the line. This is where practice to minimize the loses comes in. Be prepared to maximize the profits soon.