my second or third str8 flush the other day.
I'm somewhere between 50k and 100k hands total
and I have yet to get my own. (one in 72,000 I'm about due for one.)
I hope I can get more out of it than this guy did. All in after the flop with two callers. (in a 250 single table so the most he could get was 1125 chips. He also didnt 'cash' in the tourney poor guy. what a waste) Now for my Q's: The odds
of this happening with his hole cards were 1 in 9800. I don't think in this case it was possible (regardless of how unlikely) for the hand to get counterfeited after the flop. Under certain circumstances with a regular str8 (only using one card to make the bottom of the str8) it is a very bad idea to bet much on it. I think if he had connectors instead of 2,5 it would have been possible to beat him, correct? I calculated the odds of this happening to be One in Ninety-Six Million. (9800^2) is that right? What I'm getting at is: is it ever a very bad bet to go all in with a str8 flush? Even if you only used one card? Or if it were on the board even what are the odds your opponent would have the next higher suited card? (5s 6s 7s--8s--9s You have ATC (you probly should not be in the hand, but maybe you had As 3s for the nut flush on the flop then it turns into the str8 flush on the river)and your opponent has Ts x)