Should the turn slow me down

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rjb6767

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Okay, play alot of limit poker. I am talking a nut flush draw. Two in my hand, two on the board after the flopw. My odds are 35 percent to win. So I tend to raise my draws when there are three or more players in the hand when I can without scaring out too many players.... My question is. When the turn comes and I miss, should I still continue to raise my flush draw and ignore the fact that I have only one more card to come and just continuing to count on the theroy of the 35 percent of the time it is goiing to come because that is the odds I started with. Or should I slow down and only raise with five or more players in the pot, since the odds of one draw is only 19 percent?

I am thinking that I should not care about what happens, my true odds from the flop are 35 percent and although it changes as things go along per hand, over time I will still win those hands from start to finish 35 percent of the time..

WHat you think? Kind of iffy on this one
 
Exit141RTe1

Exit141RTe1

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I would give it up. You are no longer 35% with one draw left. Just me though.
 
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Johnnybmoto

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Leatherass advocates betting/raising nut draws hard.
 
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watchfanatic

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i have to say id agree with leatherass here. great minds think alike. :)
 
Weregoat

Weregoat

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If your plan is to bet/raise on the flop, because you have a 35% chance to win the hand. but you're going to dump if you miss on the turn, you're dumb, especially in limit poker in a multi-way pot. Because if you are planning to dump on the turn if you miss, you are only 18% to win.

And in a multiway limit pot you're getting the odds to CALL the turn, if not RAISE it. If you bet/raise the flop, and bet/raise the turn, people are not going to put you on a flush draw, made or not, so when you bet/raise the river, they may think their two pair is good against your TPTK, or their lower flush sucked out against your set, or their rivered straight is about to pay them off and oh please god don't have hearts.

Bet/raise every street with the nut flush draw in limit poker - except the river and you missed and you are sensing strength from your opponents.

No Limit is another beast entirely. In NL if you whiff on the flop you should bet hard to try and take the pot down, effectively semi-bluffing.

Also, don't forget to take into account your implied odds (how much you'll get paid if you do hit) - while in a multi-way limit poker pot you'll probably have the odds to call without them, if it's getting close (pot odds vs chance to win), remember there is another round of betting, and in limit you're likely to get looked up.
 
salim271

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I think you should continue to bet out, with three players in the pot you'll get paid off if you do hit. Checking to the flush then betting never gets any action unless people are trying to push you out of the pot with a big bet, which cant happen in limit holdem anyways.
 
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