re: Poker & Is poker just luck
Originally Posted by wsorbust
Is poker luck? It's obvious none of us truly know if it is or isn't luck, neverless the percentages.
Gotta disagree here. Poker is by definition a game of chance as it has random outcomes, so luck is clearly a factor. In the very short run, luck is clearly a very large factor. Deal me in for 1 hand against Phil Ivey and there is a statistically very significant chance that I win it. Whereas deal me in for 1,000,000 hands against Phil Ivey and there is likely nil chance that I end up ahead.
I think we can all agree that poker contains a huge element of luck in the very short term. And in the long term, I can tell you as something of a statistician that the success enjoyed by some of the pros -- both in tournaments and cash games -- is statistically significant and demonstrates that luck is not the only factor in the long run, maybe not even the major factor.
Thus I think we can
say that luck matters in poker, and it matters a lot more over short periods than long periods.