Playing against Large Overbets
A hand that I played earlier in a $20 MTT this morning got me thinking about this topic and what to do in such a situation. Here's what happened.
It was about 10-15 minutes into the MTT, so I didnt have much info on any of the players. Blinds 15-30.
I was on the button with KdQh, the action was folded to a middle player who limped in. The player on my right raised to 90, 3xBB. I called as did the early limper. Pot at 270 or so.
Flop comes K 10 2 rainbow. Middle player checks, then the pre-flop raiser bets 660. Thats a huge bet for a pot of 270. Im trying to put him on a hand...
Im thinking, "He raised preflop so he has to have something decent. AA or KK or 10-10, but why would he want to chase out 2 players for a measly 270 pot? K-10, but wouldnt a pot sized bet be more reasonable here? A flush draw is not a possibilty, and its insane to bet so much on a straight draw...Hmm...I think he has QQ, JJ, or 99 and is trying to buy the pot!"
As a result of my thinking, I like my pair of kings with a queen kicker. I decide to make a stand and put him all in. I have him covered by a couple of chips.
The middle players folds, the raiser calls immediately and shows AA. Im crushed and exit soon thereafter.
So, was my thinking wrong? I don't know, but massive overbets like that usually signal weakness of some sort. The huge bet of 660 after the flop with a 270 pot is a peculiar play and I smelled rat. Of course, I ended up looking like the moron while he stacked my chips.
What would you have done in that situation? I like to play aggressively early on in MTTs and try to get a healthy stack for the middle portion of the tournament and get myself into position to cash. Do you think my play was overzealous and unneccesary or aggressive yet reasonable?